Pure time series-based tests fail to nd empirical support for monetary exchange rate models. In this paper we apply pooled time series estimation on a forwardlooking monetary model, resulting in parameter estimates which are in compliance with the underlying theory. Based on a panel version of the Engle and Granger (1987) two-step procedure we nd that the residuals of our pooled estimated model...

The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the determinants of tourism demand by utilizing panel data for the period of 1995-2011 from top 20 countries sending tourists to Turkey. Econometric results obtained from panel cointegration analysis show that macroeconomic factors as such income, prices, supply capacity, exchange rate and political stability play a significant role in determi...

Money demand equation continues to attract attention of econometricians with a new wrinkle provided by cointegration. We use projection pursuit (PP) regressions pioneered by Friedman and Stuetzle (1981) to suggest new estimates of partials of conditional expectations of the regressands with respect to the regressors and prove their consistency. Since the usual cointegration methodology involves...

This paper provides an estimation and testing framework to identify the source(s) of spuriousness in a large nonstationary panel. This can be determined by two non mutually exclusive causes: pooling units neglecting the presence of heterogeneity and genuine presence of I (1) errors in some of the units. The paper proposes two tests that complement a test for the null of cointegration: one test ...

The role of the financial sector in the UK economy: evidence from a seasonal cointegration analysis Sami Fethi & Salih Katircioglu To cite this article: Sami Fethi & Salih Katircioglu (2015) The role of the financial sector in the UK economy: evidence from a seasonal cointegration analysis, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 28:1, 717-737, DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2015.1084476 To link to th...

This study tries to answer the question, “has macroeconomic instability detrimental impact on gross domestic product of Pakistan over the period of 1980 to 2012?” For reviewing macroeconomic instability a comprehensive macroeconomic instability index is constructed by incorporating inflation rate, unemployment rate, trade deficit and budget deficit. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model h...

In this paper we estimate different specifications of a model for the determination of the bilateral real exchange rate of the peseta relative to nine European Union members. The model is based on Meese and Rogoff (The Journal of Finance 43 (1988) 933) monetary approach as extended by MacDonald (Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 8 (1998) 117). The applied econom...

This paper analyzes relationships among money, barter, and inflation in Russia during the transition period. Following the development of a theoretical framework that introduces barter into a standard macroeconomic model for a small, open economy, we estimate the model using structural cointegration and vector error-correction methods. Our findings suggest that Russian barter resulted partly fr...

Abstract: In this paper we investigate the effects of volatility of the fundamental determinants of trade on trade flows in México during the period 1991-2008. Our import and export functions are based on the well known imperfect substitute goods model of trade. We focus on the effects of real exchange rate as well as measures of relative prices and real income and their associated conditional ...

In this study, we address an econometric issue which has so far been neglected by the empirical studies on separation principle. The earlier studies largely applied Granger causality test by differencing the data if they are integrated time series. Such approach produces specification bias if integrated variables in level are cointegrated and thus, ignoring the long run dynamics among the varia...