a common problem arising in project management is the fact that the baseline schedule is often disrupted during the project execution because of uncertain parameters. as a result, project managers are often unable to meet the deadline time of the milestones. robust project scheduling is an effective approach in case of uncertainty. upon adopting this approach, schedules are protected against po...

This paper describes uncertainty quantification (UQ) of a complex system computational tool that supports policy-making for aviation environmental impact. The paper presents the methods needed to create a tool that is “UQ-enabled” with a particular focus on how to manage the complexity of long run times and massive input/output datasets. These methods include a process to quantify parameter unc...

water shortage crisis is an issue that has led to drastic changes in different agricultural policies, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. uncertainty in the amount of resources, e.g. water, used for agricultural production entails risk for farmers' income and cropping pattern changes. in the present study, the robust optimization model was used for optimal allocation of arable lands of khor...

here in, an application of a new seismic inversion algorithm in one of iran’s oilfields is described. stochastic (geostatistical) seismic inversion, as a complementary method to deterministic inversion, is perceived as contribution combination of geostatistics and seismic inversion algorithm. this method integrates information from different data sources with different scales, as prior informat...

in this paper, multi-microgrids (mmg) are considered as future smart distribution grids, in which small scale energy resources (sser) are main power generation units with small scales. optimal operation of microgrids in defined intervals is carried out to achieve economic conditions in distribution systems. the defined operating problem is optimized using a heuristic algorithm considering uncer...

hoarding is characterized by the persistent difficulty discarding or parting with possessions, regardless of the value others may attribute to these possessions. hoarding resembles obsessive compulsive disorder (ocd) in several ways. the avoidance of and difficulties with discarding seem to be driven by fears of losing something significant or being responsible for a bad outcome. these could be...

The use of mechanistic plant growth models relies on the availability high-quality inputs to reduce uncertainty in estimates. Measurements photosynthetically active radiation inside a protected environment are either more expensive obtain or dependent assumptions regarding external measurements. This study aimed influence measurements low-cost lux meters by using data assimilation strategy. We ...

This paper empirically investigates the relationship between CPI inflation uncertainty, and private investment in the Iranian economy from 1988 to 2010 by using quarterly data. We employ a bivariate VAR(5)-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean with diagonal BEKK model to discover in a unified framework how are the interactions between the variables. In the model, conditional variance of inflation and private inve...