The properties of Granger-causality tests are examined when applied to integrated time series. Recently presented results suggesting spurious causality in such circumstances are shown to be highly dependent upon the absence of deterministic terms from the causality testing equations. The analysis is completed by the examination of an alternative non-parametric causality test.

The paper focuses on establishing causation in regression analysis in observational settings. Simple static regression analysis cannot establish causality in the absence of a priori theory on possible causal mechanisms or controlled and randomized experiments. However, two regression based econometric techniques – instrumental variables and Granger causality can be used to test for causality gi...

We discuss the use of multivariate Granger causality in presence of redundant variables: the application of the standard analysis, in this case, leads to under estimation of causalities. Using the un-normalized version of the causality index, we quantitatively develop the notions of redundancy and synergy in the frame of causality and propose two approaches to group redundant variables: (i) for...

Granger causality analysis (GCA) has been well-established in the brain imaging field. However, the structural underpinnings and functional dynamics of Granger causality remain unclear. In this paper, we present fiber-centered GCA studies on resting state fMRI and natural stimulus fMRI datasets in order to elucidate the structural substrates and functional dynamics of GCA. Specifically, we extr...

T he Causal relationship between financial development and economic growth has received divergent views in the literature under the traditional Granger approach to causality using data from various countries. The more recent Toda and Yamamoto and Dolado and Lütkepohl (TYDL) approach to causality were used to investigate the causal relationship between financial development and econom...

We propose Granger causality mapping (GCM) as an approach to explore directed influences between neuronal populations (effective connectivity) in fMRI data. The method does not rely on a priori specification of a model that contains pre-selected regions and connections between them. This distinguishes it from other fMRI effective connectivity approaches that aim at testing or contrasting specif...

The objective of this study is to explore the presence of a causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth. This study aims to explore this relationship in the nine Newly Industrialized Countries (NIC’s): Brazil, China, India, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand and Turkey. 2005 nominal GDP values are used as a proxy for economic growth, and market ca...

The asymptotic behavior of the Granger-causality test under stochastic nonstationarity is studied. Our results confirm that the inference drawn from the test is not reliable when the series are integrated to the first order. In the presence of deterministic components, the test statistic diverges, eventually rejecting the null hypothesis, even when the series are independent of each other. More...

Granger causality analysis (GCA) has been well-established in the brain imaging field. However, the structural underpinnings and functional dynamics of Granger causality remain unclear. In this paper, we present fibercentered GCA studies on resting state fMRI and natural stimulus fMRI datasets in order to elucidate the structural substrates and functional dynamics of GCA. Specifically, we extra...