Stephen H. Jenkins, in his book Tools for Critical Thinking in Biology, includes a section titled “Peer review and the origin of AIDS.” In it, he analyses two main theories about the origin of AIDS, the cut-hunter and the polio-vaccine hypotheses. He also draws on and comments on my social science studies of the origin-of-AIDS dispute. Critical thinking is worthwhile in nearly every field of sc...

20 Lin, A. A,, Kimura, R. and Miller, W. M. (1993) Biotechnol. Bioeng. 42, 339-350 Jenkins, N., Castro, 1’. M. I,., Menon, S., Ison, A. P. and Hull, A. T. (1994) Cytotechnology 12, 1-10 James, D. C., Freedman. R. B.. Hoare, M. and Jenkins, N. (1994) Anal. Hiochem. 222.3 15-322 Edge, C. J., Parekh, R. B., Rademacher, T. W., Wormald, M. and Dwek, R. A. (1992) Nature (London) 358.693-694 Sutton, C...

The merits of the modelling philosophy of Box & Jenkins (1970) are illustrated with a summary of our recent work on seasonal river flow forecasting. Specifically, this work demonstrates that the principle of parsimony, which has been questioned by several authors recently, is helpful in selecting the best model for forecasting seasonal river flow. Our work also demonstrates the importance of mo...

This paper outlines the practical steps which need to be undertaken to use autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series models for forecasting Irish inflation. A framework for ARIMA forecasting is drawn up. It considers two alternative approaches to the issue of identifying ARIMA models the Box Jenkins approach and the objective penalty function methods. The emphasis is on forec...

Gordon and Shapiro (1956 Management Sci. 10 102–10) first equated the price of a share with the present value of future dividends and derived the well known relationship. Since then, there have been many improvements on the theory. For example, Thompson (1985 Managerial Decis. Economics 6 132–40, 1987 Managerial Decis. Economics 8 321–32) combined the ‘dividend yield plus growth’ method with Bo...