نتایج جستجو برای: probabilistic forecasting matrix

تعداد نتایج: 469391  

The present paper discusses the development of a performance model of power generation system of a thermal plant for performance evaluation using Markov technique and probabilistic approach. The study covers two areas: development of a predictive model and evaluation of performance with the help of developed model. The present system of thermal plant under study consists of four subsystems with...

Journal: :Journal of experimental psychology. Applied 2015
Barbara Mellers Eric Stone Pavel Atanasov Nick Rohrbaugh S Emlen Metz Lyle Ungar Michael M Bishop Michael Horowitz Ed Merkle Philip Tetlock

This article extends psychological methods and concepts into a domain that is as profoundly consequential as it is poorly understood: intelligence analysis. We report findings from a geopolitical forecasting tournament that assessed the accuracy of more than 150,000 forecasts of 743 participants on 199 events occurring over 2 years. Participants were above average in intelligence and political ...

Journal: :Journal of Hydrology 2022

Sustainable urban drainage is an economically expensive necessity, partially due to the operation of water pumps. Reliable forecasting stormwater response following a rainfall event has potential reduce those expenses, because it can be used in model predictive control schemes that optimize energy consumption pumps significantly better than commonly applied real-time systems. Urban systems are ...

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