نتایج جستجو برای: 2071 2100
تعداد نتایج: 5286 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Abstract An extreme heatwave, in terms of intensity and duration, is projected to occur at the end 21st century (2071–2100) over whole East Asia. The projection calculated using daily maximum temperature data 25 km horizontal resolution produced by 12 general circulation model-regional climate model chains participating CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 project. ‘extreme’ heatwave defined as one which m...
Abstract High- and low pressure systems of the large-scale atmospheric circulation in mid-latitudes drive European weather climate. Potential future changes occurrence types are highly relevant for society. Classifying dynamic into discrete classes helps to categorize linkages between forcing surface conditions (e.g. extreme events). Previous studies have revealed a high internal variability pr...
Soil is a non-renewable resource essential for life existence. During the last decades it has been threatened by accelerating erosion with negative consequences environment and economy. The aim of current study was to assess soil loss changes in typical Mediterranean ecosystem Northern Greece, under climate change. To this end, freely available geospatial data collected processed using open-sou...
We analysed climate change impacts on the growth and natural mortality of forest tree species and forest carbon (C) balance along an elevation gradient extending from the Pannonian lowland to the West Carpathian Mountains (Central Europe). Norway spruce Picea abies, European beech Fagus sylvatica, and oak Quercus sp. were investigated for 2 future time periods: 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. The peri...
Given their physiological requirements, limited dispersal abilities, and hydrologically sensitive habitats, amphibians are likely to be highly sensitive to future climatic changes. We used three approaches to map areas in the western hemisphere where amphibians are particularly likely to be affected by climate change. First, we used bioclimatic models to project potential climate-driven shifts ...
A global water scarcity assessment for the 21st century was conducted under the latest socio-economic scenario for global change studies, namely Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). SSPs depict five global situations with substantially different socio-economic conditions. In the accompanying paper, a water use scenario compatible with the SSPs was developed. This scenario considers not only qu...
Abstract. In this study, the impact of climate change scenarios on the hydrological regimes of five different regions in Germany is investigated. These regions (Northwest Germany, Northeast Germany and East German basins, upper and lower Rhine, pre-Alps) differ with respect to present climate and projected climate change. The physically based SVAT-model SIMULAT is applied to theoretical soil co...
The balance governing the exploitation of resources on Earth is nowadays undermined by different accelerating processes, as population growth, pollution increase and, above all, climate change: consequences human well-being and natural ecosystems health incontrovertible. Hence, there need to undertake mitigation actions aimed at slowing down uncontrolled development negative effects. Within thi...
Abstract Key message Climate envelope analysis of nine tree species shows that Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies H. Karst could lose 58% 40% their current distribution range. Quercus pubescens Willd cerris may win areas equal with 47% 43% ranges. The ratio poorly predictable increases by 105% in southern south-eastern Europe. Context change requires adaptive forest management implementations. ...
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