Subjective Bayesian prior distributions elicited from experts can be aggregated together to form group priors. This paper compares priors formed by Equal Weight Aggregation, the Classical Method, and Sheffield Elicitation Framework each other individual expert priors, using an elicitation carried out for a clinical trial. Aggregation methods are compared proper scoring rules compare informative...

Eliciting the value proposition in Value Based Software Engineering (VBSE) is critical. Everything within VBSE is dependent on the value propositions of success critical stakeholder (SCSs). This paper present presents a novel approach for elicitation of value from the SCSs from different dimensions. We propose a Value Elicitation Framework (VEF) in order to resolve the problem of selection and ...

The Classical Model (CM) or Cooke’s method for performing Structured Expert Judgement (SEJ) is the best-known that promotes expert performance evaluation when aggregating experts’ assessments of uncertain quantities. Assessing in quantifying uncertainty involves two scores CM, calibration score (or statistical accuracy) and information score. combine into overall scores, which, turn, yield weig...

Hapten sensitization through UV-exposed skin induces systemic immune suppression, which is experimentally demonstrated by inhibition of contact hypersensitivity (CHS). Although this UV-induced effect has been shown to be mediated by inhibition of the afferent phase of the CHS, the UV effects on the efferent (elicitation) phase remain unknown. In this study, UV effects on endothelial ICAM-1 expr...

this study investigates the effect of four types of oral corrective feedback, namely, explicit elicitation, implicit elicitation, explicit recast and implicit recast on the most commonly mispronounced phonological features among iranian efl learners through immediate uptake and retention. five classes were randomly categorized into four experimental groups and one control group, each with 18 in...

Case study in section 6 was removed because it is confidential 2 Case study in section 6 was removed because it is confidential Case study in section 6 was removed because it is confidential 4 Case study in section 6 was removed because it is confidential Abstract: The research project SIKOSA is funded by the Ministery for Science, Research and Art of Baden-Württemberg, Germany (Ministerium für...

This paper introduces a method of moment estimator for the time-changed Lévy processes proposed by Carr, Geman, Madan and Yor (2003). By establishing that the returns sequence is strongly mixing with exponentially decreasing rate, we prove consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators. In addition, we fit parametrized versions of the model to real data and examine the quality...

Elicitation mechanisms typically presume only money enters utility functions. However, nonmonetary objectives are confounders. In particular, psychologists argue people favor bets where ability is involved over equivalent random bets—a preference for control. Our new elicitation method mitigates control and determines that under the widely used matching probabilities method, subjects report bel...

the overall objective of this study is to investigate the iranian students' attitudes toward the use of euphemism in persian by means of delphi method regarding biological, socio-cultural and educational variables including: gender, native language, place of birth and academic major. we begin with some definitions and examples of different types of euphemism. data elicitation procedure was thro...