This paper employs the recently developed structural stability tests with unknown break point and two median unbiased estimation methods to model China inflation persistence over the most recent quarter of a century. Our empirical results suggest that the persistence of both consumer price inflation and retail price inflation has witnessed declines over the most recent period of low inflation, ...

This study employs the panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model to examine spillover effect of US unconventional monetary policy on inflation and non-inflation targeting emerging markets post credit crunch during COVID-19 from 2000Q1 2020Q4. Unlike other analyses, this paper adds existing body knowledge by employing a dummy variable represent United States’ quantitative easing. Other included c...

Recent increases in pathology costs per scheme member are a concern to medical schemes and pathologists alike. To better understand the observed increasing costs, the National Pathology Group commissioned Prognosys to analyse the trends affecting these increases. We found that these increases are driven by inflation, increases in utilisation, and redistribution of the burden of cost. The identi...

During the past two decades, maintenance of low inflation, “price stability,” has become the principal focus of central banks around the world. At the same time, the view has emerged that monetary policy is better suited than fiscal policy for short-run stabilization purposes. This paper examines to what extent monetary policy can be directed at both “monetary stabilization,” stabilizing inflat...

This paper focuses on developing models to study influential factors on the inflation rate for a panel of available countries in the World Bank data base during 2008-2012‎. ‎For this purpose‎, Random effect log-linear and Ordinal logistic models are used for the analysis of continuous and categorical inflation rate variables‎. ‎As the original inflation rate response to variables shows an appar...

We examine the relative ability of inflation targeting and price level monetary policy rules to minimize variability business cycle fluctuations in a commodity-exporting country for supply demand shocks global commodity markets. The macroeconomic consequences oil non-oil primary commodities differ affect merits alternative frameworks. Particularly, consumption refined products demand-driven mov...

The world has endured a deep financial crisis and a great recession. Emerging markets are performing much better than they have in the past, especially in Latin America. The huge difference between the recent crisis and previous ones in emerging economies is that this time ‘it was not our fault’. The evidence from the emerging countries facing this unprecedented global downturn indicates that p...

We investigate the importance of trend inflation and the real-activity gap in explaining inflation in G7 countries since 1960. Our analysis is based on a bivariate unobserved components model of inflation and unemployment in which inflation is decomposed into a stochastic trend and a transitory component. As in recent implementations of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, it is the transitory com...

Outline This paper analyses the effects of monetary policy decisions on inflation expectations of European consumers. Using a novel approach that does not assume unbiasedness of expectations, which makes use of survey data on expected future as well as perceived past price developments and allows for non-normal peakedness and asymmetry, we convert qualitative survey responses of consumers in va...

This paper argues that inflation-targeting central banks should announce explicit loss function with numerical relative weights on output-gap stabilization and use and announce optimal time-varying instrument-rate paths and corresponding inflation and output-gap forecasts. Simple voting procedures for forming the Monetary Policy Committee’s aggregate loss function and time-varying instrument-ra...