Libya experienced a substantial increase in oil revenue as a result of increased oil prices during the period of the late 1970s and early 1980s, and again after 2000. Recent increases in oil production and the price of oil, and their positive and negative macroeconomic impacts upon key macroeconomic variables, are of considerable contemporary importance to an oil dependent economy such as that...

The interaction between income distribution, accumulation, employment and the utilization of capital is central to macroeconomic models in the `heterodox' tradition. This paper examines the stylized pattern of these variables using US data for the period after 1948. We look at the trends and cycles in individual time series and examine the bivariate cycical patterns among the variables. JEL cla...

There is no scarcity of empirical studies into the causes of capital flight or the associated attempt to relate the phenomenon to economic growth and other macroeconomic stability indicators. Studies that undertook that include Onwuoduokit, (2002), Ajayi (1992, 2002) Pastor (1990), among others. The emerging list of causal variables is equally diverse ranging from balance of payments disequilib...

We propose an approach to optimally select corporate bond portfolios based on bond-specific characteristics (maturity, credit rating, coupon, illiquidity, past performance, and issue size) and macroeconomic conditions (recessions and macroeconomic uncertainty measures). The approach relies on a parametric specification of the portfolio weights and allows us to consider a large cross-section of ...

This research project investigates the ability of neural networks, specifically, the backpropagation algorithm, to integrate fundamental and technical analysis for financial performance prediction. The predictor attributes include 16 financial statement variables and 11 macroeconomic variables. The rate of return on common shareholders’ equity is used as the to-be-predicted variable. Financial ...

In this paper, we use optimum control methods to determine optimal budgetary policies for Austria over a five-year horizon. Optimal fiscal policies are calculated using the algorithm OPTCON. Optimal policies are compared to a simulation using extrapolated values of budgetary policy variables in terms of their performance with respect to Austrian macroeconomic targets. Policy tradeoffs between t...

The present study was conducted to examine the extent and direction of exchange rate volatility and its impact on macroeconomic performance of Pakistan. It is implied that exchange rate volatility has direct bearings on macroeconomic variables and thus on macroeconomic performance. This study also investigates the effect of exchange rate (independent variable) of Pak Rupee to US Dollar on selec...

a r t i c l e i n f o Global slack hypothesis Inflation expectations Openness Small open economy DSGE model Korea This paper studies the implications of globalization for the dynamics of macroeconomic variables over the business cycle for a small open trade-dependent economy, such as South Korea. We study the impact of globalization through the lens of a structural model. Globalization is model...

This paper tries to analyze the impacts of intermediate goods trade on production, consumption, investment, net exports, employment, labor wage and capital rent of Iran in its bilateral trade relations with China. This analysis has been done by modeling, solving and calibrating an international real business cycles (IRBC) model in period 1980-2009. The results show that when elasticity of subst...

Workers’ remittances constitute one of the most important sources of external finance for many developing countries. Although it shows a decreasing trend in recent years, Egypt after 1970s with her regular and massive labor migration to abroad has been still one of the gainer countries on remittances across the world. Empirical studies that implemented for various countries reveal workers’ ...