Estimation procedures for nonstationary Markov chains appear to be relatively sparse. This work introduces empirical  Bayes estimators  for the transition probability  matrix of a finite nonstationary  Markov chain. The data are assumed to be of  a panel study type in which each data set consists of a sequence of observations on N>=2 independent and identically dis...

In singular statistical models, it was shown that Bayes learning is effective. However, on Bayes learning, calculation containing the Bayes posterior distribution requires huge computational costs. To overcome the problem, mean field approximation (or equally variational Bayes method) was proposed. Recently, the generalization error and stochastic complexity in mean field approximation have bee...

We investigate the theoretical performance of Bayes factor estimators in wavelet regression models with independent and identically distributed errors that are not necessarily normally distributed. We compare these estimators in terms of their frequentist optimality in Besov spaces for a wide variety of error and prior distributions. Furthermore, we provide sufficient conditions that determine ...

The problem of state estimation with stochastic uncertainties in the initial state, model noise, and measurement noise is approached using the restricted risk Bayes approach. It is assumed that the a priori distributions of these quantities are not perfectly known but that some a priori information may be available. While offering robustness, the restricted risk Bayes approach incorporates the ...

Energy simulation tool is a tool to simulate energy use by a building prior to the erection of the building. Commonly it has a feature providing alternative designs that are better than the user’s design. In this paper, we propose a novel method in searching alternative design that is by using classification method. The classifiers we use are Naïve Bayes, Decision Tree, and k-Nearest Neighbor. ...

It is well-known that naive Bayes performs surprisingly well in classification, but its probability estimation is poor. In many applications, however, a ranking based on class probabilities is desired. For example, a ranking of customers in terms of the likelihood that they buy one’s products is useful in direct marketing. What is the general performance of naive Bayes in ranking? In this paper...

When individuals have little knowledge about a causal system and must make causal inferences based on vague and imperfect information, their judgments often deviate from the normative prescription of classical probability. Previously, many researchers have dealt with violations of normative rules by elaborating causal Bayesian networks through the inclusion of hidden variables. While these mode...

‎consider an estimation problem in a one-parameter non-regular distribution when both endpoints of the support depend on a single parameter‎. ‎in this paper‎, ‎we give sufficient conditions for a generalized bayes estimator of a parametric function to be admissible‎. ‎some examples are given‎. ‎

the empirical bayes estimators of treatment effects in a factorial experiment were derived and their asymptotic properties were explored. it was shown that they were asymptotically optimal and the estimator of the scale parameter had a limiting gamma distribution while the estimators of the factor effects had a limiting multivariate normal distribution. a bootstrap analysis was performed to ill...