Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation Many information structures generate correlated rather than mutually independent signals, the news media being a prime example. This paper shows experimentally that in such contexts many people neglect these correlations in the updating process and treat correlated information as independent. In consequence, people’s beliefs are excessively sensitive to w...

Observed choices in Social Dilemma Games usually take the form of bounded integers. We propose a doubly-truncated count data framework to process such data. We compare this framework to past approaches based on ordered outcomes and truncated continuous densities using Bayesian estimation and model selection techniques. We find that all three frameworks (i) support the presence of unobserved het...

The link between family background and labour market outcomes is an issue of great academic, social and political concern. It is frequently claimed that such intergenerational associations are stronger in Britain than other countries. But is this really true? I investigate this issue by estimating the link between parental education and later lifetime income, using three cross-nationally compar...

in this paper, a robust integral of the sign error (rise) feedback controller is designed for a rigid-link electrically driven (rled) robot manipulator actuated by direct current dc motor in presence of parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances. rise feedback with implicitly learning capability is a continuous control method based on the lyapunov stability analysis to compensate an add...

background: we aimed to assess the high-risk group for suicide using different classification methods includinglogistic regression (lr), decision tree (dt), artificial neural network (ann), and support vector machine (svm). methods: we used the dataset of a study conducted to predict risk factors of completed suicide in hamadan province, the west of iran, in 2010. to evaluate the high-risk grou...

Employment, Hours of Work and the Optimal Taxation of Low Income Families The optimal design of low income support is examined using a structural labour supply model. The approach incorporates unobserved heterogeneity, fixed costs of work, childcare costs and the detailed non-convexities of the tax and transfer system. The analysis considers purely Pareto improving reforms and also optimal desi...

The End of Destitution The paper presents a statistical generalisation, to working families in the whole of Britain, of Rowntree’s finding that absolute poverty declined dramatically in York between 1899 and 1936. We use poverty lines devised by contemporary social investigators and two relatively newly-discovered data sets. We estimate an almost complete elimination of absolute poverty among w...

Growing Up in a Recession: Beliefs and the Macroeconomy Do generations growing up during recessions have different socio-economic beliefs than generations growing up in good times? We study the relationship between recessions and beliefs by matching macroeconomic shocks during early adulthood with self-reported answers from the General Social Survey. Using time and regional variations in macroe...

Generous early retirement provisions account for a large proportion of the drop in the labor force participation of elderly workers. The aim of this paper is to provide a positive theory of early retirement. We suggest that the political support for generous early retirement provisions relies on: (i) the existence of a significant group of elderly workers with incomplete working history, who ar...

background: during recent years the rapid increase in the senior population, their disabilities, reduced independence, and increased dependence have drawn more attention toward issues related to social support in this group. social support impacts different dimensions of health of the senior population.  meanwhile, one of the important aspects of health which is less considered in this group is...