Accurate forecasting tools are essential in the operation of electric power systems, especially in deregulated electricity markets. Electricity price forecasting is necessary for all market participants to optimize their portfolios. In this paper we propose a hybrid method approach for short-term hourly electricity price forecasting. The paper combines statistical techniques for pre-processing ...

this paper proposes a stochastic framework for demand response (dr) aggregator to procure dr from customers and sell it to purchasers in the wholesale electricity market. the aggregator assigns fixed dr contracts with customers based on three different load reduction strategies. in the presented problem the uncertainty of market price is considered and the risk of aggregator participation is ma...

Green electricity (GE) has emerged as one of the most interesting instruments for promoting renewable electricity in liberalized markets, at least in theory. Indeed, some experiences have already been carried out, mostly in the U.S. and Europe. However, most of them have been largely unsuccessful. In this chapter, we look at previous surveys and studies carried out on customer response, and pro...

This paper reviews both theoretical and empirical studies of financial transmission rights (FTRs) in the major U.S. wholesale power markets and provides a simple illustrative two-stage model to study the competitive behaviors of electricity generators (wholesale power sellers) and load serving entities (LSEs)(wholesale power buyers) and the welfare effects of FTRs in the restructuring U.S. whol...

Different indexes are used in electricity markets worldwide to represent the daily behavior of spot prices. However, the peculiarities of these markets require a careful choice of the index, based on mathematical formulation and its statistical properties. Choosing a bad index may influence the financial policies of market players, since derivative pricing and hedging performance can be deeply ...

This chapter presents some results of an econometric analysis (developed in Patrick and Wolak 2001b) of customer-level demands for electricity of large and medium-sized industrial and commercial customers purchasing electricity under half-hourly spot prices and demand charges coincident with system peaks in the England and Wales (E&W) electricity market. These estimates can be used to forecast ...

Electricity systems are a central component of modern economies. Many electricity markets are transitioning from centrally regulated systems to decentralized markets. Furthermore, several electricity markets that have recently undergone this transition have exhibited extremely unsatisfactory results, most notably in California. These high stakes transformations require the introduction of large...