This study aimed to determine the short and long-term effects of trade wars, consumer price index (CPI), interest rates, money supply, exchange rate on exports. belonged quantitative research. It used an Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis with secondary data. The results showed that (CPI) in had a negative significant effect exports, while war between United Stated China positive exports lon...

We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. find that restrictive US affect international stock prices heterogeneously, but generally negatively, increasing market uncertainty, lowering interest rates, leading to an appreciation US-Dollar. are signif...

This paper argues that the growing US trade de…cit has caused the decline of the WTO and the rise of regional trade agreements. A country in de…cit prefers to retain market power against countries with a large surplus. Multilateral cooperation restricts its choice. This notion is formalized in a three-country game in which countries negotiate multilaterally and, if that fails, bilaterally. The ...