نتایج جستجو برای: wind speed forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 315014 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
An Advanced Bayesian Method for Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of the Generation of Wind Power
Currently, among renewable distributed generation systems, wind generators are receiving a great deal of interest due to the great economic, technological, and environmental incentives they involve. However, the uncertainties due to the intermittent nature of wind energy make it difficult to operate electrical power systems optimally and make decisions that satisfy the needs of all the stakehol...
from the mathematical point of view, the fao penman-monteith equation shows a homographic function related to the wind speed. the homographic function has horizontal and vertical asymptotes. in this issue horizontal asymptote is applicable; because the vertical asymptote occurs for negative values of wind speed but the negative sign indicates the direction of the wind speed and only the absolut...
The main goal of this paper is to study statistical indices and evaluate AGC indices in power system which has large penetration of the WTGs. Increasing penetration of wind turbine generations, needs to study more about impacts of it on power system frequency control. Frequency control is changed with unbalancing real-time system generation and load . Also wind turbine generations have more flu...
Since wind has an intrinsically complex and stochastic nature, accurate wind power forecasts are necessary for the safety and economics of wind energy utilization. In this paper, we investigate a combination of numeric and probabilistic models: one-day-ahead wind power forecasts were made with Gaussian Processes (GPs) applied to the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model. Firstly...
precipitation is one of important parameters of climatology and atmospheric science that have more importance in human life. recently, extensive flood and drought entered many damage to most parts of the world. precipitation forecasting and alerts management role is responsible for these problems. today, artificial neural networks are one of developed method that applied for estimate and predic...
In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (power-TGARCH) model. The modeling framework incorporates diurnal and annual periodicity modeling by peri...
Multilayered feed forward neural networks possess a number of properties which make them particularly suited to complex problems. Neural networks have been in use in numerous meteorological applications including weather forecasting. As Neural Networks are being more and more widely used in recent years, the need for their more formal definition becomes increasingly apparent. This paper present...
wind erosion climatic factor is a measure of climatic factors explaining the wind erosion erosivity. humidity and wind speed are climatic characteristics that must be considered as the erosion parameters. in this study, linear moment analysis (l-moments) and wind erosion climatic factor were used to evaluate the regional climate’s tendency effect on wind erosion in yazd province. wind erosion c...
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