This paper uses Granger non–causality tests to analyze if channel competition exists between the companion websites of 93 German newspapers observed between I/1998 and II/2005. It provides econometric evidence for significant negative effects of companion website traffic on the print circulation of national newspapers and for significantly positive effects on local newspapers, at least for the ...

The authors address the issue of estimation and inference in dependent nonstationary panels of small cross-section dimensions. The main conclusion is that the best results are obtained applying bootstrap inference to single-equation estimators, such as fully modified ordinary least squares and dynamic ordinary least squares. Seemingly unrelated regression estimators perform badly, or are even u...

Separating Uncertainty from Heterogeneity in Life Cycle Earnings This paper develops and applies a method for decomposing cross section variability of earnings into components that are forecastable at the time students decide to go to college (heterogeneity) and components that are unforecastable. About 60% of variability in returns to schooling is forecastable. This has important implications ...

Macro-prudential authorities need to assess medium-term downside risks the real economy, caused by severe financial shocks. Before activating policy measures, they also consider their short-term negative impact. This gives rise a risk management problem, an inter-temporal trade-off between expected growth and risk. Predictive distributions are estimated with structural quantile vector autoregre...

Our research aims to determine the effect of electricity distribution and energy consumption on industrial development dynamics that occur between regions in Indonesia by adding investment inflation as control variables. The analysis tools we use are static (Fixed Effect) dynamic (GMM) panel data model with a dataset 34 provinces for 2012-2019 period. results state has significant positive indu...

Kamu borçlarında meydana gelen artışlar, büyüme, bütçe açığı, enflasyon gibi pek çok ekonomik değişken üzerinde olumsuz etkilere yol açabilmektedir. Özellikle ortaya çıkan belirsizliklerle birlikte borçlanmanın çıkaracağı artan maliyet, faiz oranlarının yükselmesine açmaktadır. Öte yandan oranları yatırım oranlarını azaltarak büyüme azalmasına Bu nedenle kamu borcu, uzun dönem kanalıyla ülkeler...

Previous work on the effect of taxes on foreign direct investment (FDI) focused primarily on capital income taxes. We investigate the proposition that other forms of taxation may also deter FDI. We use tax ratios, i.e., average effective tax rates, on consumption, labor and capital income for a panel of 25 OECD countries from 1975-2006. We find that increases in relative tax rates on capital in...

This paper examines the impact of anticipated and unanticipated monetary policy announcements, of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee on UK sectoral stock returns. The monetary policy shock is generated from the change in the three-month sterling LIBOR futures contract. Using a panel GMM estimator we find that both the expected and unexpected components of monetary changes are signi...