Using data on the universe of housing transactions in England and Wales over a 20-year period, we document that sale prices selling propensities are affected by house prevailing period which properties were previously bought. administrative mortgages, show cognitive frictions explain most history dependence prices, whereas credit more relevant for propensities. We corroborate our analysis with ...

We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in context frictions financial markets. document two new facts. First, a shock to future generates significant decline credit spread indicators along with robust improvement supply indicators. Second, we establish tight link between and that explain majority un-forecastable movements A DSGE model enriched sector Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type very...

This study shows that annual output data of the G7 countries in the twentieth century are better characterized as transitory deviations from a (shifting) growth trend than as integrated processes. Furthermore, I find no two countries share common business cycles. JEL classification: C22, E32, 057

This paper compares the cycles in UK sectoral output generated from both univariate and multivariate unobserved components models. Common trends and cycles are found among the sectors and it is found that these help to identify the cycles in the multivariate model. JEL Classi...cation: C32, E32.

This paper examines a tractable real business cycle model with idiosyncratic productivity shocks and binding credit constraints on entrepreneurs. The model shows how firm volatility increases in combination with credit market development. It further generates the observed comovement of credit and firm volatility with output at business cycle frequencies in response to aggregate productivity sho...

This paper provides a simple dynamic optimization model of durable goods inventories. Closed-form solutions are derived in a general equilibrium environment with imperfect information and serially correlated shocks. The model is then applied to scrutinize some popular conjectures regarding the causes of the volatility reduction of GDP since 1984. JEL Classification: E22, E23, E32.

We investigate the heterogeneous boom and bust patterns across countries that emerge as a result of global shocks. Our analysis sheds light on emergence core periphery countries, joint determination depth recessions tightness credit countries. The model implies interest rates are similar in booms, with larger output growth However, common shock leads to crunch globe gives rise sharper spike dee...

We model the world economy as one system of endogenous input-output relationships subject to frictions and study how world’s structure GDP change due changes in frictions. derive a sufficient statistic identify from observed matrix, which we fully match for year 2011. show internal impact whole that they have much larger effect on than external also use our approach role during Great Recession ...

We estimate a behavioral New Keynesian (NK) model in which households and firms plan over finite horizon. The finite-horizon planning (FHP) outperforms rational expectations versions of the NK as well other models. In FHP model, are forward-looking thinking about events their horizon but backward-looking regarding beyond that point. This gives rise to substantial aggregate persistence without r...

This paper compares Kaleckian and Harrodian models of accumulation. The simplicity of the canonical Kaleckian model is appealing but more complex Harrodian speci…cations are preferable from a behavioral perspective. The local instability of Harrodian-inspired speci…cations, moreover, o¤ers a uni…ed understanding of both trend and cycles. JEL classi…cation: E12, E32, O41