نتایج جستجو برای: baseline scenario
تعداد نتایج: 279845 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
This paper examines the economic growth challenges of Iran`s economy for the period 2017-2021, based on estimating and analyzing a acroeconometric model. The results of the baseline scenario show that even with no economic sanctions, and assuming gradual increase in production and oil export the economic growth would be about 3 percent per year on average during the above mentioned period. Thus...
In this study, a model of Bayesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) from Real Business Cycles (RBC) approach with the aim of identifying the factors shaping price bubbles of Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) was specified. The above-mentioned model was conducted in two scenarios. In the first scenario, the baseline model with sentiment shock was examined. In this model, stock price bubbl...
Concern about the impact of climate change on natural and socioeconomic systems has been increased in recent years and this issue caused an increasing interest in the scientific community . The aim of this study is to evaluate changes in parameters such as precipitation, minimum and maximum temperature by General Circulation Models (GCM) and its impact on average runoff using SWAT model in Gh...
waste is a by-product of our daily activities, which poses a serious threat to societies all over the world. in this study, life cycle assessment (lca) methodology was used to determine municipal solid waste (msw) management strategy for minna, niger state, nigeria. three scenarios were modelled as alternatives to the current waste management system in minna. the baseline scenario was the exist...
This study focuses on the role of traveller information and associated technologies in supporting personal security in travel by public transport. It reports research undertaken via a workshop involving SWOT analysis and scenario planning and a series of expert interviews. These research activities created a baseline understanding of how personal security issues are currently addressed, and ide...
The links between climate issues and sustainable development are manifold. Given these interconnections, the lack of close integration of the sustainable development and climate change literatures is puzzling; part of the reason for this lack of connectivity may be the very different research and policy traditions out of which each field developed. This paper argues that integrating climate cha...
Forest certification programs provide standards for multiple aspects of forest management, including the use of chemicals for mitigating competition and forest pests. The three most common programs in the United States—the American Tree Farm System, the Forest Stewardship Council, and the Sustainable Forestry Initiative—all address chemical use. To evaluate relative impacts under different cert...
OBJECTIVES To explore the value of simulation modelling in evaluating the effects of strategies to plan and schedule operating room (OR) resources aimed at reducing time to surgery for non-elective orthopaedic inpatients at a Swedish hospital. METHODS We applied discrete-event simulation modelling. The model was populated with real world data from a university hospital with a strong focus on ...
Emissions of more than three-quarters of greenhouse gases by the energy sector have affected climate change in various economic, political and social sectors. Climate change is affecting energy consumption, including natural gas. This article deals with the future of natural gas consumption in the country with regard to climate change until 2030 using a combined approach of econometrics and sce...
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