The objective of our research is to build a statistical test that can evaluate different risks of a portfolio selection model with fuzzy data. The central points and radiuses of fuzzy numbers are used to determine the portfolio selection model, and we statistically evaluate the best return by a fuzzy statistical test. Empirical studies are presented to illustrate the risk evaluation of the port...

risk management is one of the most important phases of project management and isthe most recently used by many researchers. in this paper, a fuzzy based method wasproposed which identifies different kinds of risks through the project life cycle.then, the project risk magnitude can be obtained in regards to five factors, namely“severity”, “occurrence”, and “not detection” which form fuzzy fmea a...

Environmental impact assessment (EIA) is a procedure tool of environmental management for identifying, predicting, evaluating and mitigating the adverse effects of development proposals. EIA reports usually analyze how the amounts or concentrations of pollutants obey the relevant standards. Actually, many analytical tools can deepen the analysis of environmental impacts in EIA reports, such as ...

Risks and losses arising from system failure, unauthorized activity, fraud and other operational errors are postulated to be one of the primary banking risks. Expert-based scenario analysis aims at describing the frequency and severity of extreme operational losses. Experts are not exact in predicting quantitative estimates for a distant future. The predicted scenarios are described by range es...

In this paper, we present a new method for fuzzy risk analysis based on ranking generalized fuzzy numbers with different heights and different spreads. First, we present a new method for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers. The proposed method considers the defuzzified values, the heights and the spreads for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers. Based on the proposed method for ranking generalized f...

Background and Objectives: Surgical cancelation is a significant source of time and resource waste, patient safety risk, and stress for patients and their families. In this study, a risk management-based approach is developed to prioritize factors contributing to surgical cancellation. Methods: Factors leading to surgical cancellation were comprehensively classified based on literature review...

the traditional event tree analysis uses a single probability to represent each top event. however, it is unrealistic to evaluate the occurrence of each event by using a crisp value without considering the inherent uncertainty and imprecision a state has. the fuzzy set theory is universally applied to deal with this kind of phenomena. the main purpose of this study is to construct an easy metho...

In this paper, we present a new method for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers for dealing with fuzzy risk analysis problems. The proposed method considers the defuzzified values, the heights and the spreads of generalized fuzzy numbers, simultaneously, for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers. It gets better ranking results to rank generalized fuzzy numbers than the existing methods. We also apply ...