It is well known that in a vector autoregressive (VAR) model Granger non-causality is characterized by a set of restrictions on the VAR coefficients. This characterization has been derived under the assumption of non-singularity of the covariance matrix of the innovations. This note shows that if this assumption is violated, then the characterization of Granger non-causality in a VAR model fail...

This paper examines the causality between concentration in banking industry and economic growth by using data across 15 countries named in "Iran outlook in 2025", over the period 2004-2011. Our aim is to assess whether the economy grows more or less rapidly in areas where the banking sector is more concentrated. The topic is motivated by the fact that the causality between concentration in bank...

This study aims to evaluate the link between economic growth and consumer price index (CPI) in Japan for the period of 1980-2014. Initial series were adjusted for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey- Fuller (ADF) test for unit root followed by the application of Johansen Co-integration Test in order to examine the long-run relationship among the variables, while the causalities were evaluat...

Granger’s (1969) popular concept of causality, based on work by Weiner (1956), is typically defined in terms of predictability for one period ahead. Recently, Dufour and Renault (1998) generalized the concept to causality at a given horizon h, and causality up to horizon h, where h is a positive integer that can be infinite (1≤h<∞); see also Sims (1980), Hsiao (1982) and Lütkepohl (1993a) for r...

This paper introduces a kernel-based non-parametric inferential procedure to test for Granger causality in distribution. This test is a multivariate extension of the kernel-based Granger causality test in tail event introduced by Hong, Liu, and Wang (2009). The main advantage of this test is its ability to examine a large number of lags, with higher-order lags discounted. In addition, our test ...

This paper investigates the dynamic relationship between volatility, volume and open interest in CSI 300 futures market using asymmetric GARCH model, Granger causality test, variance decomposition and impulse response function based on 1-min data. ARMA-EGARCH model is employed and find that both contemporaneous and lagged volume is positively related to volatility, and current open interest has...

Adopt co-integration and granger causality test for analyzing the influences of the deviation of three industrial structures on peasants’ income based on the model of industrial structure deviation with time sequences of peasants’ income and the deviation of three industrial structures in China Jiangxi. It’s found that there exists a long-term positive equilibrium relationship between the devia...

In this paper, an examination is made of the linkage between foreign direct investment and productivity in eight East Asian economies–China, Hong Kong SAR, Indonesia, Malaysia, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan Province of China and Thailand. The Granger causality test and the Toda-Yamamoto version of the Granger causality test are used to test if inflows of foreign direct investment “cause”...

The present study attempts to examine the casual relationship between foreign capital inflows and economic growth in India. Using the pair-wise Granger causality test (1969), this paper specifically examines casual relationship between foreign capital inflows and economic growth in India. The important observations emerge from pair-wise Granger causality test which shows there is the long-run e...

The objective of this study is to explore the presence of a causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth. This study aims to explore this relationship in the nine Newly Industrialized Countries (NIC’s): Brazil, China, India, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand and Turkey. 2005 nominal GDP values are used as a proxy for economic growth, and market ca...