The study is aimed to test causal relationship between growth and unemployment, using time series data for Pakistan from 1972 to 2006. Growth is considered to be a pathway to decrease the level of unemployment. Unemployment is a social and political issue. It is a phenomenon where human resources are wasted leading to deacceleration in growth. Johanson Cointegration shows that there is long run...

This paper examines whether or not immigration has a positive influence on the duration of unemployment, in a macroeconomic perspective. We analyse also whether the degree of labor market integration can influence migration. The integration of immigrants into the labor market is a recurrence theme in the work on the economic consequences of immigration. However, to our knowledge, no researchers...

A new approach to robust testing in cointegrated systems is proposed using nonparametric HAC estimators without truncation. While such HAC estimates are inconsistent, they still produce asymptotically pivotal tests and, as in conventional regression settings, can improve testing and inference. JEL Classi…cation: C12; C14; C22 Keywords: Cointegration, HAC estimation, robust inference, steep orig...

US domestic sugar prices have been maintained substantially above world prices engendering sugar substitutes (notably high fructose corn syrup, HFCS) to be sold at a discount to sugar Ð a discount of 10 Ð 30% (Greer, 1991; USDA, 1990). Sugar substitutes have been successful in capturing as much as 42% of the US caloric sweetener market by 1984 (Leu, Schmitz and Knutson, 1987). This paper invest...

This paper analyses the long-memory properties of US and European stock indices, as well as their linkages, using fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the standard ones usually employed in the literature. The empirical evidence based on them suggests the presence of unit roots in both the S&P 500 Index and the ...

This paper examines types of cointegration for bivariate seasonal time series, namely seasonal cointegration, periodic cointegration and nonperiodic cointegration. The admissable form(s) for any cointegration is shown to depend crucially on the univariate unit root properties of the series. When both processes are (conventionally) integrated, only nonperiodic cointegration is possible. Periodic...

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with d < 1, which implies mean reversion. The multivariate framework exploiting recent developments in fr...

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the meanreverting behaviour of general government expenditures and revenues ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel cointegration techniques that account for the time series and cross-sectional dependencies of the regression err...

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel cointegration techniques developed by Pedroni (1999, 2004), generalized by Banerjee and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2006) and Westerlund and Edger...

Intercept and deterministic trend functions are known to have a substantial effect on cointegration analysis, and notably on the asymptotic distributions of various test statistics. In this paper we propose a unifying approach to the analysis of cointegrated vector autoregressions by allowing for a wide class of trend functions. Next, estimates of these trends are incorporated in the asymptotic...