b a c k g r o u n d & aim: the aim of the current study was to investigate the advantages of bayesian method in comparison to traditional methods to detect best antioxidant in freezing of human male gametes. methods  &  materials:   semen  samples  were  obtained  from  40  men  whose  sperm  had  normal criteria. a part of each sample was separated without antioxidant  as fresh and the remaini...

A new Markov-based method for real time prediction of network transmission time delays is introduced. The method considers a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural model for the transmission network, where the number of neurons in the input layer is minimized so that the required calculations are reduced and the method can be implemented in the real-time. For this purpose, the Markov process order...

We present two new methods for estimating the order (memory depth) of a finite alphabet Markov chain from observation of a sample path. One method is based on entropy estimation via recurrence times of patterns, and the other relies on a comparison of empirical conditional probabilities. The key to both methods is a qualitative change that occurs when a parameter (a candidate for the order) pas...

Estimation procedures for nonstationary Markov chains appear to be relatively sparse. This work introduces empirical  Bayes estimators  for the transition probability  matrix of a finite nonstationary  Markov chain. The data are assumed to be of  a panel study type in which each data set consists of a sequence of observations on N>=2 independent and identically dis...

the notion of infinite order markov process is introduced and the markov property of the flow of information is established.