inflation forecasting has been one of the requirements for the implementation of monetary policy in countries which their monetary authorities are pursuing inflation targeting regime. however, owing to central bank independence in one hand and as well as the lagged effects of monetary policies on inflation in the other, the monetary authorities should have the sound perspective about the future...

This paper characterizes Ramsey-optimal monetary policy in a medium-scale macroeconomic model that has been estimated to fit well postwar U.S.\ business cycles. We find that mild deflation is Ramsey optimal in the long run. However, the optimal inflation rate appears to be highly sensitive to the assumed degree of price stickiness. Within the window of available estimates of price stickiness (b...

This paper characterizes optimal monetary policy for a range of alternative economic models, applying the general theory developed in Giannoni and Woodford (2002a). The rules computed here have the advantage of being optimal regardless of the assumed character of exogenous additive disturbances, though other aspects of model specification do affect the form of the optimal rule. In each case, op...

We determine the second best rule for the inflation tax in monetary general equilibrium models where money is dominated in rate of return. The results in the literature are ambiguous and inconsistent across different monetary environments. We derive and compare the optimal inflation tax solutions across the different environments and find that Friedman's policy recommendation of a zero nominal ...

Central banks like the Bank of England or the Bundesbank have highlighted recently that the supply of currency is achieved not by means of printing and spending but by means of credit. This clarification raises further issues. This article addresses the issue of seigniorage and optimal inflation. So far approaches to seigniorage and optimal inflation are still based on the assumption of a curre...

This paper extends Woodford’s (2010) approach to the robustly monetary policy to a general linear quadratic framework. We provide algorithms to solve for a time-invariant linear robustly optimal policy from a timeless perspective and for a time-invariant linear Markov perfect equilibrium under discretion. We apply our methods to a New Keynesian model of monetary policy with persistent cost-push...

In main theories of monetary non-neutrality the Ramsey optimal inflation rate varies between the negative of the real interest rate and zero. This paper explores how the interaction of nominal wageand search and matching frictions affect the planners choice. We show that adding the combination of such frictions to the canonical monetary model can generate an optimal inflation that is significan...

This paper considers the impact of inflation on the EPQ model for deteriorating items subject to random machine breakdowns and fixed maintenance period. The demand rate is assumed to be a function of inflation and the demand increase due to inflation. The objective is to determine the optimal production uptime that minimizes the present value of expected total costs per unit time consisting of ...