This paper analyzes the asymptotic behavior of two types of so-called KPSS tests when a logarithm transformation has been applied spuriously to data that are themselves an integrated time series. Although a different limit distribution is obtained, the asymptotic convergence behavior of the KPSS statistic is reminiscent of that of integrated time series, and it is shown that the KPSS test canno...

This paper proposes a simple approach to analyzing profit dynamics which allows for time-varying persistence of profits. The time series model is a simple autoregressive process where the dynamics of the persistence parameter follow an autoregressive or random walk process. Using the longest time series available on profits for six US firms (Archer-Daniels-Midland , Avon, Coca Cola, Johnson & J...

in this paper, economic convergence in selected oic (36 countries) is studied. the convergence hypothesis is tested through three approaches: beta convergence, sigma convergence, and time series model. ols is used for estimating the cross section model and cross variance is used to test the distributive model. for analyzing time series model, we used augmented dicky fuller test. beta convergenc...

This paper assesses the finite sample refinements of the block bootstrap and the Non-Parametric Bootstrap for conditional moment models. The study recononsiders inference in the generalized method of moments estimation of the consumption asset pricing model of Singleton (1986). These dependent bootstrap resampling schemes are proposed as an alternative to the asymptotic approximation in small s...

Monthly seasonally unadjusted data can exhibit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration, corresponding to the monthly but also to the quarterly and to the long-run or trending components of the series. In this paper we use a procedure which is suitable to test simultaneously for the order of integration of each of these components and apply it to several US monetary aggregates. JEL ...

This paper introduces a Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for testing an autoregressive structure in a binary time series model proposed by Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008). Simulation results indicate that the two versions of the proposed LM test have reasonable size and power properties when the sample size is large. A parametric bootstrap method is suggested to obtain approximately correct sizes also...

This paper considers the estimation of average autoregressive roots-near-unity in panels where the time-series have heterogenous local-to-unity parameters. The pooled estimator is shown to have a potentially severe bias and a robust median based procedure is proposed instead. This median estimator has a small asymptotic bias that can be eliminated almost completely by a bias correction procedur...

This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero frequency, although adequately describing the persistent behaviour of the series, do not take into account i...

We investigate the effects of outliers on the KPSS tests. We find that for nonstationary series outliers induce spurious stationarity by lowering the power of these tests. The empirical size of these tests is also found to be sensitive to the location of the outlier. JEL classification: C15, C22

The properties and applications of the normal log-normal (NLN) mixture are considered. The moment of the NLN mixture is shown to be finite for any positive order. The expectations of exponential functions of a NLN mixture variable are also investigated. The kurtosis and skewness of the NLN mixture are explicitly shown to be determined by the variance of the log-normal and the correlation betwee...