نتایج جستجو برای: time to ruin

تعداد نتایج: 10882418  

2009
JUN CAI RUNHUAN FENG GORDON E. WILLMOT

In this paper we first consider the expectation of the total discounted claim costs up to the time of ruin, and then, more generally, we study the expectation of the total discounted operating costs up to the time of default, which is the first passage time of a surplus process downcrossing a given level. These two quantities include the expected discounted penalty function at ruin or the Gerbe...

Journal: :Stochastic Processes and their Applications 2003

2016
Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

This article considers the problem of evaluating infinite-time (or finite-time) ruin probability under a given compound Poisson surplus process by approximating the claim size distribution by a finite mixture exponential, say Hyperexponential, distribution. It restates the infinite-time (or finite-time) ruin probability as a solvable ordinary differential equation (or a partial differential equ...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز - دانشکده مهندسی علوم آب 1393

drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...

2014
Jingchao Li David C M Dickson Shuanming Li

We consider finite time ruin problems in the Markov-modulated risk model. We start by considering the number of claims and the aggregate claim amount over a finite time interval, in each case giving both a general approach for an arbitrary number of environment states and a specific approach for the special case when the number of environment states is two. We then consider the density of the t...

2004
Jun Cai

Assume that a compound Poisson surplus process is invested in a stochastic interest process which is assumed to be a Lévy process. We derive recursive and integral equations for ruin probabilities with such an investment. Lower and upper bounds for the ultimate ruin probability are obtained from these equations. When the interest process is a Brownian motion with drift, we give a unified treatm...

2005
Attahiru Sule ALFA Steve DREKIC

In this paper, we show that the delayed Sparre Andersen insurance risk model in discrete time can be analyzed as a doubly infinite, right skip-free Markov chain. We then describe how matrix analytic methods can be used to establish a computational procedure for calculating the probability distributions associated with fundamental ruin-related quantities of interest, such as the time of ruin, th...

2007
Jun Cai

Assume that the surplus of an insurer follows a compound Poisson surplus process. When the surplus is below zero or the insurer is on deficit, the insurer could borrow money at a debit interest rate to pay claims. Meanwhile, the insurer will repay debts from her premium income. The negative surplus may return to a positive level if debts are reasonable. However, when the negative surplus is bel...

2003
Gordon E. Willmot

The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function is considered for a class of delayed renewal risk processes. Special cases of the model include the stationary renewal risk model and the situation where the time until the first claim is exponentially distributed. A mathematically tractable formula is derived for the Gerber-Shiu function, and consequently for quantities associated with the deficit at...

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