according to the importance of careful review of crude oil market fluctuations on the iranian economy, in this paper a multivariate model of markov switching vector error correction model (have been used). variables such as real gross domestic product in industrial sector, real effective exchange rate, real governmental expenditure, real import, inflation rate and real crude oil price is used t...

Article history: Received 16 June 2009 Accepted 19 April 2010 Available online xxxx JEL classification: E31 E50 E52 E58 F41

In this paper, we study the potential of stocks as a hedge against inflation for different investment horizons. We show that stocks can be a hedge against inflation even if stock returns are negatively correlated with unexpected inflation shocks, and only moderately positively related to expected inflation. Depending on the investment horizon, the optimal hedge ratio can be either positive or n...

Empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that the predictability of inflation at long horizons varies considerably across countries. Both simple theory and empirical evidence suggest that the crucial factor is the extent to which systematic monetary policy succeeds in stabilising the incipient unit root in inflation. The mechanism by which it does this appears however to be complicated ...

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We propose a simple but effective estimation procedure to extract the level and the volatility dynamics of a latent macroeconomic factor from a panel of observable indicators. Our approach is based on a multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic exact factor model that can take into account the heteroskedasticity feature shown by most macroeconomic variables and relies on an iterated Kalman fil...

The fluctuating exchange rate and massive debt burden of Nigeria necessitates a thorough investigation trends in her foreign levels, its underlying causes, implications for economic growth. This study, therefore, investigated the impact rising external on with annual data from 1980 to 2021. motivation this study was premised inculcating government spending inflation into traditional analysis vo...

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We develop an inflationary finance model where transaction costs of the type suggested w by Barro, R., 1976. Integral constraints and aggregation in an inventory model of money x demand. Journal of Finance, Vol. 31, pp. 77–87 are assumed. The model implies that there is a single unstable steady state. This result is in sharp contrast to those of traditional inflationary finance literature in wh...