Examining the correlation between trade and income cannot identify the direction of causation between the two. Countries’ geographic characteristics, however, have important effects on trade, and are plausibly uncorrelated with other determinants of income. This paper therefore constructs measures of the geographic component of countries’ trade, and uses those measures to obtain instrumental va...

We find that trade and domestic market size are robust determinants of economic growth over the 1960-1996 period when trade openness is measured as the US dollar value of imports and exports relative to GDP in PPP US$ (“real openness”). When trade openness is measured as the US dollar value of imports and exports relative to GDP in exchange rate US$ (“nominal openness”) however, trade and the s...

The paper examines the gains from North-South trade and their distribution. In a `new growth, new trade' framework, we examine the factors that determine four phases or stages of development in the South as equilibria: specialisation in a traditional good; the South in addition copies Northern innovative manufactured goods; the South begins to innovate in its own right and nally a stage in whic...

This paper shows that deindustrialization is explained primarily by developments that are internal to the advanced economies. These include the combined effects on manufacturing employment of a relatively faster growth of productivity in manufacturing, the associated relative price changes, and shifts in the structure of demand between manufactures and services. North-south trade explains less ...

The empirical relationship between trade protection and economic growth is surprisingly fragile, as shown in a number of other papers. After demonstrating this empirical sensitivity, we address one possible explanation for these findings: that the relationship is nonlinear. Following the endogenous growth literature, we test for the possibility that the relationship between trade barriers and g...

On one monthly time-series data set of Vietnam economy over 02/2008–09/2018, the Time-Varying-Coefficient VAR model records that trade-off between inflation and output growth is mitigated by foreign capital inflows. The mostly determined credit supply growth, while largely driven direct investment (FDI) A increase FDI USD 1 billion can raise 1.77% rate. result also holds on accounting for excha...

We study how opening to trade affects economic growth in a model where heterogeneous firms can adopt new technologies already use by other their home country. characterize the rate using summary statistic of profit distribution: mean-min ratio. Opening increases spread through increased export opportunities and foreign competition, induces more rapid technology adoption, generates faster growth...

This paper develops a simple network model to describe the dynamic of the intensive and extensive margin of international trade flows. The result is achieved by means of the combination of two mechanisms of proportional growth: the first (discrete) determines the formation of trade links, the second (continuous) governs trade intensity. We show that our setup is able to simultaneously match a l...

â  â â â â â  â  â  abstract: â  there is a significant relationship between economic growth and the degree of urban concentration, as measured by primacy or the share of the largest city in an urban system. in accordance to urban economic theories, there is an inverse-u shape relationship between urban concentration –urban primacy- and economic growth. that is, as economy grows, urban concen...

In this paper, I analyze a dynamic model of a firm’s joint decisions to export and innovate, allowing both decisions to affect the firm’s production in accordance with selfselection and learning-by-exporting theories of firm-level export and production dynamics. I calibrate the model using Chilean manufacturing plant data from 2005 to 2007 and find that self-selection and learning-by-exporting ...