This study examined the effect of dependency ratio and unemployment rate on human development index in Aceh Province. used secondary data with type time series during 2002-2020 obtained from Central Bureau Statistics. The analysis method was Vector Auto Regression (VAR). results showed that HDI did not have a negative significant themselves, ABK had no HDI, TPT HDI.

In the last decade, high profile financial frauds committed by large companies in both developed and developing countries were discovered and reported. This study compares the performance of five popular statistical and machine learning models in detecting financial statement fraud. The research objects are companies which experienced both fraudulent and non-fraudulent financial statements betw...

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach for affine auto-calibration. By the Bayesian approach, a posterior distribution for the affine camera parameters can be constructed, where also the prior knowledge can be taken into account. Moreover, due to the linearity of the affine camera model, the structure and translations can be analytically marginalised out from the posterior distribution, ...

COVID-19 incidence is analyzed at the provinces of some Spanish Communities during period February-October, 2020. Two infinite-dimensional regression approaches are tested. The first one implemented in framework introduced Ruiz-Medina, Miranda and Espejo (2019). Specifically, a bayesian adopted estimation pure point spectrum temporal autocorrelation operator, characterizing second-order structu...

support vector regression (svr) solves regression problems based on the concept of support vector machine (svm). in this paper, a new model of svr with probabilistic constraints is proposed that any of output data and bias are considered the random variables with uniform probability functions. using the new proposed method, the optimal hyperplane regression can be obtained by solving a quadrati...

Support vector regression (SVR) techniques are aimed at discovering a linear or nonlinear structure hidden in sample data. Most existing regression techniques take the assumption that the error distribution is Gaussian. However, it was observed that the noise in some real-world applications, such as wind power forecasting and direction of the arrival estimation problem, does not satisfy Gaussia...

background : to prepare safe and adequate blood supply to meet patients’ needs and ensure a sufficient number of regular blood donors, knowledge about factors encouraging people to donate blood regularly is essential. considering its importance, we aimed to identifying the effective factors of the return to blood donation in based on zero-inflated count regression models using bayesian approach...

Abstract Geodetic measurements rely on high-resolution sensors, but produce data sets with many observations which may contain outliers and correlated deviations. This paper proposes a powerful solution using Bayesian inference. The observed is modeled as multivariate time series stationary autoregressive (VAR) process t-distribution for white noise. Bayes’ theorem integrates prior knowledge. P...