The Context Scenario Planning is fast becoming one of the most popul(lr and persuasive tcchniques, used in strategic plan ni ng and foresighting cxercises of aU kinds in both public and private sectors, It is likely that the approach will playa more prominent role in helping organisations and agencies from all parts of the economy, governance and society in Ireland think, talk, act and plan d i...

Increasing electric vehicles usage, as a promising solution for environmental issues, might have unexpected implications, since it entails some changes in different sectors and scales in energy system. In this respect, this research aims at investigating the long-term impacts of electric vehicles deployment on Iran's energy system. Accordingly, Iran's energy system was analyzed by LEAP model in...

introduction heart failure is the second most common cause of ascites after cirrhosis. there are cardiac and noncardiac etiologies of ascites, and the multimodality imaging approach is a rich tool to redefine the final diagnosis. case presentation we present a case-series where 3 patients were referred to our hospital for further hepatology assessment due to severe abdominal ascites and liver f...

OBJECTIVE We sought to determine pediatric residents' and attending physicians' ability to define brain death, their ability to apply this standard of death to a clinical scenario, and their knowledge regarding the legal necessity of confirmatory testing when determining death by brain criteria. We compared resident and attending self-confidence at discussing brain death with their ability to d...

rapidly increasing urbanization in the world, especially in developing countries, let to increasing urban extents. rapid urban growth causes to appearance many problems such as wasting environmental resources, inability of providing necessary services for citizens and unplanned growth. urban mangers and planners need tools for understanding amount and size of future urban growths to prevent the...

Designing consumer products has grown more challenging due to the increasingly complex characteristics of these products. Design research has promoted the use of scenarios –concrete stories about product useto support the design process. However, design practice still lacks a thorough guidance that integrates various scenario uses effectively. In this paper, we describe a software concept that ...

Salmonellosis in people is a costly disease, much of it occurring because of food associated exposure. We develop a farm-to-fork model which estimates the pork associated Salmonella risk and human health costs. This analysis focuses on the components of the pork production chain up to the point of producing a chilled pork carcass. Sensitivity and scenario analysis show that changes that occur i...

This work presents a methodological approach for modelling the evolution of the hybrid demand order flow pattern over long time horizons. The hybrid demand is the result of the mutual interaction between the e-commerce and the traditional demand. Thus, its modelling requires a complex analysis at various aggregation levels. More specifically, it is necessary to establish the quantitative modell...

The series are ‘ideas in progress,’ after the notion described by I.J. Good in ‘The Scientist Speculates.’ Good also describes ideas about ideas as ‘partly baked ideas’ believing that “ ... it is often better to be stimulating and wrong than boring and right.” While these papers do not take this tenet as an excuse for licence at the expense of rigour, they are exploratory and the ideas may chan...

A unilateral contact problem without friction in quasi-coupled thermo-elasticity and with uncertain input data is analysed. The worst scenario method is used to nd the most "dangerous" admissible input data.