This paper studies the state-dependence of the output and welfare effects of shocks to government purchases in a canonical medium scale DSGE model. When monetary policy is characterized by a Taylor rule, the output multiplier (the change in output for a one unit change in government spending) is countercyclical but close to constant across states of the business cycle, whereas the welfare multi...

In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus on the estimation of their predictive distributions, with special attention being paid to the mean and the covariance matrix of h-steps ahead forecasts. In the empirical analysis, we examine the forecasting performance of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) that has been designed f...

Whereas the bulk of the literature on DSGE models provides a rationale for in‡ation targeting strategies, there is no model doing such a job for the strategy implemented for almost ten years now by the Eurosystem and known as the "two-pillar monetary policy strategy". We try to address this issue by developping a small "two-pillar" DSGE model for the euro area. In this paper: 1) we allow real b...

The purpose of this study is to analyse the dynamic response of a set of euro area macroeconomic variables to monetary policy and technology shocks. We do so by conducting simulations on three different models of the euro area. The first modelling approach corresponds to structural VAR models (SVAR), the second approach uses the NiGEM multi-country model developed by the National Institute of E...

depending on the assumptions that are made in new keynesian models, one can attain different new keynesian phillips curves. in this study, three different new keynesian phillips curves and two different central bank behavioural functions are presented which leaves six new keynesian dsge models to study. the purpose of this study is the comparison of these six models and selecting the best model...

This paper argues that the reason that the DSGE model, which has proved so successful in convincing academic economists of its value, has made relatively few inroads into the undergraduate teaching sphere is that it fails to allow for the development of higher order educational objectives in students. The qualities which make it attractive to academics, such as the purity of its assumptions and...

This paper explores how much firm-paid employee benefits and firms’ financial conditions have contributed to delayed employment recoveries relative to output since 1990, using a DSGE model. Empirically, I document the underexplored pro-cyclicality of per worker benefit costs. Post-1990 period differs from before in that: (1) there have been larger increases of such quasifixed employment costs a...

Financial frictions affect the way in which different macroeconomic series respond to a monetary policy shock. We embed the financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999) into a medium-scale DSGE model and evaluate the relative importance of financial frictions in explaining monetary transmission. Specifically, we apply minimum distance estimation based on impulse responses for...

Purpose This paper aims to analyse the stabilizing macroeconomic effects of economic policies during COVID-19 crisis in Spain. Design/methodology/approach The contribution structural shocks that explain behaviour main aggregates 2020 are estimated, and simulated using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated for Spanish economy. Findings results highlight importance suppl...