in this study, government budgets in the last 150 years have been examined based on leviathan state and the selection process theories. using this descriptive-historical method we evaluate the impact of financial behavior of government on development. in the first section of this paper, the concept of government nature has been defined and its influence on public finance is fully explained. mor...

In this paper, we analyze how lack of credibility and transparency of monetary and fiscal policies undermines the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies to isolate the economy from commodity price fluctuations. We develop a general equilibrium model for a commodity exporting economy where macro policies are conducted through rules. We show that the responses of output, aggregate demand, and in...

We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the monthly press conferences during 1999-2004. Over time, the relative amount of words devoted to the monetary analysis has decreased. Our analysis of indicators of the monetary policy stance suggests that developments in the monetary sector, while somewhat more important in the later...

Monetary policies, either actual or perceived, cause changes in monetary interest rates. These changes impact the economy through financial institutions, which react to changes in the monetary rates with changes in their administered rates, on both deposits and lendings. The dynamics of administered bank interest rates in response to changes in money market rates is essential to examine the imp...

based on the “aggregate demand” theory, monetary policies are designed with the aim of achieving desirable level of macroeconomic goals through affecting the stock of money supplyand income velocity of money. thus, the velocity (v)-as well as money supply - has significant impact, particularly on rate of inflation through expansionary or contractionary monetary policy. to focus on the velocity ...

In this paper we use the common perspective provided by the neoclassical growth model to evaluate the size of the distortions associated with different monetary and fiscal policies designed to finance a given sequence of government expenditures. We calibrate a neoclassical monetary economy to match important features of the U.S. economy and use it to provide a quantitative assessment of the wel...

Some of the recent literature on robust control in economics (for instance, Giannoni [3], Hansen and Sargent [4] and [5], Onatski [6], Onatski and Stock [7], Sargent’s [10] comment on Ball, [1] and Stock’s [12] comment on Rudebusch and Svensson [9]) is somewhat technical and difficult to see through. This note attempts to use a simple example of optimal monetary policy to convey the gist of rob...

The Federal Reserve has implemented policies during the past six years that rely on channels of transmission to the real economy that economic models have assumed to exist but seldom tested or on channels that were simply presumed not to exist. I discuss the board channels of monetary policy transmission that may allow forward guidance and balance sheet policies to affect the economy. The assum...

We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal monetary and fiscal policy, the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Large pessimistic shocks to expectations can lead to deflationary spirals with falling prices and falling output. To avoid this outcome we recommend a...