This paper proposes Bayesian methods for estimating the cointegration rank using Bayes factors. We consider natural conjugate priors for computing Bayes factors. First, we estimate the cointegrating vectors for each possible rank. Then, we compute the Bayes factors for each rank against 0 rank. Monte Carlo simulations show that using Bayes factor with conjugate priors produces fairly good resul...

no abstract

how to cite this article:  oz ii, bozay oz e, şerifoğlu i, kaya n, erdem o. cerebellar infarction in childhood: delayed-onset complication of mild head trauma. iran j child neurol. summer 2016; 10(3):82-85. objective cerebellar ischemic infarction is a rare complication of minor head trauma. vertebral artery dissection, vasospasm or systemic hypo perfusion can cause infarct. however, underlying...

Many databases store data in relational format, with different types of entities and information about links between the entities. The field of statistical-relational learning has developed a number of new statistical models for such data. Instead of introducing a new model class, we propose using a standard model class—Bayes nets—in a new way: Join Bayes nets contain nodes that correspond to t...

This paper proposes a scheme for activity recognition in sensor based smart homes using Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. In this work, opinion owners and their belief masses are constructed from sensors and employed in a single-layered inference architecture. The belief masses are calculated using beta probability distribution function. The frames of opinion owners are derived automatically ...

This paper has two aims. First, we investigate how often people make choices conforming to Bayes' rule when natural sampling is applied. Second, we show that using Bayes' rule is not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes' rule. Simpler methods, even fallacious heuristics, might prescribe correct choices reasonably often under specific circumstances. We considered elementary situations with...