Hedging is widely used to mitigate severe water shortages in the operation of reservoirs during droughts. Rationing is usually instituted with one hedging policy, which is based only on one trigger, i.e., initial storage level or current water availability. It may perform poorly in balancing the benefits of a release during the current period versus those of carryover storage during future drou...

multistage stochastic programming is a key technology for making decisions over time in an uncertain environment. one of the promising areas in which this technology is implementable, is medium term planning of electricity production and trading where decision makers are typically faced with uncertain parameters (such as future demands and market prices) that can be described by stochastic proc...

0974-9683/CIIT–IJ-1847/06/$20/$100 © 2011 CiiT Published by the Coimbatore Institute of Information Technology Abstract---Decision on reservoir water release is crucial during both intense and less intense rainfall seasons. Even though reservoir water release is guided by the procedures, decision usually made based on the past experiences. Past experiences are recorded either hourly, daily, or ...

[1] This study is one of the few attempts to close water and heat budgets in tropical lakes and reservoirs on both daily and monthly time scales. A water budget of Kranji Reservoir is constructed for the year of 2007 using data for water level, reservoir gate operation records, and inflow predicted by a catchment rainfall-runoff model. A heat budget of Kranji Reservoir is also constructed for a...

We present a forecast-based adaptive management framework for water supply reservoirs and evaluate the contribution of long-term inflow forecasts to reservoir operations. Our framework is developed for snow-dominated river basins that demonstrate large gaps in forecast skill between seasonal and inter-annual time horizons. We quantify and bound the contribution of seasonal and inter-annual fore...

r a 200 .021 : +886 2 ail.tku.e Summary Real-time flood control of a multi-purpose reservoir should consider decreasing the flood peak stage downstream and storing floodwaters for future usage during typhoon seasons. This study proposes a reservoir flood control optimization model with linguistic description of requirements and existing regulations for rational operating decisions. The approach...

Genetic algorithms (GA) have been widely used to solve water resources system optimization. However, when applying GAs to solve large-scale and complex water reservoir system problems, premature convergence is one of the most frequently encountered difficulties and takes a large number of iterations to reach the global optimal solution and the optimization may get stuck at a local optimum. Ther...