Assessing the impact of climate change on streamflow is critical to understanding the changes to water resources and to improve water resource management. The use of hydrological models is a common practice to quantify and assess water resources in such situations. In this study, two hydrological models with different structures, e.g., a physically-based distributed model Liuxihe (LXH) and a lu...

the main aim of the current paper is to discuss the important effective variables, particularly synoptic patterns, in creating flood in masoule basin using flood discharge data in komadoul station during 20 year period (1984-2003). to achieve the aim, daily average and instantaneous maximum of discharge in mentioned station were used. data accuracy was done using the data for chomesghal station...

Downscaled and hydrologically modeled projections from an ensemble of 16 Global Climate Models suggest that flooding may become more intense on the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada mountains, the primary source for California’s managed water system. By the end of the 21st century, all 16 climate projections for the high greenhouse-gas emission SRES A2 scenario yield larger floods with return...

Abstract. When a natural hazard event like an earthquake affects region and generates catastrophe (NatCat), the following questions arise: how often does such occur? What is its return period (RP)? We derive combined (CRP) from concept of extreme value statistics theory – pseudo-polar coordinates. A CRP (weighted) average local RP intensities. Since CRP's reciprocal expected exceedance frequenc...

In the Netherlands the current dike design policy is to design flood defence structures corresponding to an agreed flooding probability with an extra safety board of at least 0.5 m. For river dikes a return period of 1,250 years is used to determine the design water levels. A problem with this strategy is that it builds on assumptions with regard to the intrinsically uncertain probability distr...

Seismic hazard and risk are fundamentally different concepts. Seismic hazard describes phenomena generated by earthquakes that have potential to cause harm, but seismic risk is the likelihood (chance) of experiencing a specified level of seismic hazard in a given time exposure. Seismic hazard occurs naturally and can be evaluated from instrumental, historical, and geological observations. Seism...