Recent research in empirical finance has documented that expected excess returns on bonds and stocks, real interest rates, and risk shift over time in predictable ways. Furthermore, these shifts tend to persist over long periods of time. In this paper we propose an empirical model that is able to capture these complex dynamics, yet is simple to apply in practice, and we explore its implications...

In this paper we view the problem of adequate electricity supply and demand as a dynamic process affected by several fundamental factors. By incorporating the effect of the available price signals on investment decisions we model the investment dynamics for (i) a system comprising both spot and futures (forward) markets, and for (ii) a system comprising a spot and an installed capacity (ICAP) m...

We investigate whether foreign institutional ownership impacts corporate innovation. Using firm-level data from 30 countries in 2001-2010, we find that higher foreign institutional ownership is associated with more investment in R&D and patents. Using the exogenous increase in foreign institutional holdings that follows a firm’s addition to the Morgan Stanley Capital International World Index, ...

Long term investment is one of the major investment strategies. However, calculating intrinsic value of some company and evaluating shares for long term investment is not easy, since analyst have to care about a large number of financial indicators and evaluate them in a right manner. So far, little help in predicting the direction of the company value over the longer period of time has been pr...

This paper discusses the use of fuzzy logic and modeling as a decision making support for long-term investment decisions on financial markets. A simple model is proposed to calculate recommendations for the investors. This research required thorough analysis of historical data that lead to discovery of interesting dependencies between the Dow Jones index, currency pairs, oil price and the VIX v...