This paper analyses the predictive ability of quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF) and the so-called “poorman” rainfall probabilistic forecasts (RPF). With this aim, the full set of warnings issued by the Meteorological Service of Catalonia (SMC) for potentially-dangerous events due to severe precipitation has been analysed for the year 2008. For each of the 37 warnings, the QPFs obtained...

CHIMERE is a chemical transport model widely used within the air quality scientific community. The actual version of CHIMERE is coupled with the MM5 mesoscale meteorological model. To facilitate model development, MM5 is replaced here with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. With the accuracy of air quality models being highly dependent on the quality of meteorological drivers, th...

This paper provides an appropriate method for predicting strong winds acting on tall buildings erected in close proximity to one another at the center of a city. We first check the accuracy of strong winds estimated using the meso-meteorological model (MM5) without an urban-canopy model above and inside an urban canopy, in comparison with the observational data taken at the rooftop of a high-ri...

Land-surface processes are one of the important drivers for weather and climate systems over the tropics. Realistic representation of land surface processes in mesoscale models over the region will help accurate simulation of numerical forecasts. The present study examines the influence of Land Use/ Land Cover Change (LULC) on the forecasting of cyclone intensity and track prediction using Meso...

The introduction of complex land surface parameterization schemes into regional climate models (RCMs) has been focused on improving the modeling of land surface feedbacks to the atmosphere. As such the modeling of streamflow was considered a by-product of the water balance and until recently it received relatively little attention. Comparison of four RCMs (RegCM2, MM5/BATS, MM5/SHEELS and MM5/O...

Mesoscale meteorological modelling is an important tool to help understand air pollution and heat island effects in urban areas. Accurate wind simulations are difficult to obtain in areas of weak synoptic forcing. Local factors have a dominant role in the circulation and include land surface parameters and their interaction with the atmosphere. This paper examines an episode during the MCMA-200...