∗The authors would like to thank the Editor and a referee for some very thoughtful and constructive comments on an earlier draft of the paper. This research has been supported by Australian Research Council Discovery Grant No. DP0208333 and a Ph.D. Scholarship from the School of Business Systems, Monash University. All numerical results in the paper have been produced using the MATLAB software....

This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting inflation risks. The proposed parametric methodology bridges the empirically established benefits of TVP regressions ability to flexibly whole distribution inflation. In order make our approach accessible and relevant forecasting, we derive an efficient Gibbs sampler by transforming stat...

This paper aims to investigate the role of each aggregate spending component in the monetary policy transmission in Indonesia. It assesses the relative strength of the role of each spending component in the monetary policy transmission. In so doing, this study employs the contribution analysis, which is calculated based on the cumulative impulse response of each component of GDP to a monetary p...

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In Brodeur, Cook, and Heyes (2020) we present evidence that instrumental variable (and to a lesser extent difference-in-difference) articles are more p-hacked than randomized controlled trial regression discontinuity design articles. We also find no (i) published in the top five journals different; (ii) “revise resubmit” process mitigates problem; (iii) things improving through time. Kranz Pütz...

this paper aims to investigate the role of each aggregate spending component in the monetary policy transmission in indonesia. it assesses the relative strength of the role of each spending component in the monetary policy transmission. in so doing, this study employs the contribution analysis, which is calculated based on the cumulative impulse response of each component of gdp to a monetary p...

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Experimental data have consistently shown diversity in beliefs as well as in actions among experimental subjects. This paper presents and compares alternative behavioral econometric models for the characterization of player heterogeneity, both between sub-populations of players and within subpopulations. In particular, two econometric models of diversity within sub-populations of players are in...