Predictability is a measure of prediction error relative to observed variability and so depends on both the physical and prediction systems. Here predictability is investigated for climate phenomena described by linear stochastic dynamics and prediction systems with perfect initial conditions and perfect linear prediction dynamics. Predictability is quantified using the predictive information m...

Soil moisture predictability and the associated predictability of continental climate are explored as an initialvalue problem, using a coupled land–atmosphere model with prescribed ocean surface temperatures. Ensemble simulations are designed to assess the extent to which initial soil moisture fields explain variance of future predictands (soil moisture, near-surface air temperature, and precip...

Sentence comprehension depends on continuous prediction of upcoming words. However, when and how contextual information affects the bottom-up streams of visual word recognition is unknown. This study examined the effects of word frequency and contextual predictability (cloze probability of a target word embedded in the sentence) on N1, P200, and N400 components, which are related to various cog...

Collocations are commonly co-occurring word pairs, such as “black coffee”. Previous research has demonstrated a processing advantage for collocations compared to novel phrases, suggesting that readers sensitive the frequency words co-occur in phrases. However, further question concerns whether this occurs independently from effects of contextual predictability. We examined issue an eye movement...

Disturbances often lead to changes in average values of community properties; however, disturbances can also affect the predictability of a community's response. We performed a meta-analysis to determine how response predictability, defined as among-replicate variance in diversity and community abundance, is affected by species removals, species invasions, nutrient addition, temperature increas...

An eye movement experiment was conducted to examine effects of local lexical predictability on fixation durations and fixation locations during sentence reading. In the high-predictability condition, a verb strongly constrained the lexical identity of the following word, while in the low-predictability condition the target word could not be predicted on the basis of the verb. The results showed...

The association of nonverbal predictability and brain activation was examined using functional magnetic resonance imaging in humans. Participants regarded four squares displayed horizontally across a screen and counted the incidence of a particular color. A repeating spatial sequence with varying levels of predictability was embedded within a random color presentation. Both Wernicke's area and ...

We address the problem of predicting events’ occurrences in partially observable timed systems modelled by timed automata. Our contribution is manyfold: 1) we give a definition of bounded predictability, namely k-predictability, that takes into account the minimum delay between the prediction and the actual event’s occurrence; 2) we show that 0-predictability is equivalent to the original notio...