We address a consistency problem in the commonly used nonparametric test for Granger causality developed by Hiemstra and Jones (1994). We show that the relationship tested is not implied by the null hypothesis of Granger non-causality. Monte Carlo simulations using processes satisfying the null hypothesis show that, for a given nominal size, the actual rejection rate may tend to one as the samp...

A time series is said to Granger cause another series if it has incremental predictive power when forecasting it. While Granger causality tests have been studied extensively in the univariate setting, much less is known for the multivariate case. In this paper we propose multivariate out-of-sample tests for Granger causality. The performance of the out-of-sample tests is measured by a simulatio...

UNLABELLED We propose a likelihood ratio test (LRT) with Bartlett correction in order to identify Granger causality between sets of time series gene expression data. The performance of the proposed test is compared to a previously published bootstrap-based approach. LRT is shown to be significantly faster and statistically powerful even within non-Normal distributions. An R package named gGrang...

abstract in this paper, we examine relationship between financial intermediary development variables and values added of agricultural sector in iran during 1352 to 1385. the five indices derived from the banking system as a financial intermediary development indicators, that define in related to the agricultural sector, and with the introduction of statistic methods of factor analysis and its a...

We relate notions of structural causality and conditional exogeneity as de…ned in White and Chalak (2006) (WC) to the concept of Granger causality. We show that given conditional exogeneity, structural non-causality implies retrospective Granger non-causality, an extension of the classical Granger (1969) non-causality condition. We also provide a form of converse to this result and tests for re...

A novel approach for testing the presence of Granger causality between two time series is proposed. The residue of the destination signal after self-prediction is computed, after which a crossprediction of the source signal over this residue is examined. In the absence of causality, there should be no cross-predictive power, due to which the performance of the cross-prediction system can be use...

This paper focuses on the causality relation between US and the several Asia-pacific markets (Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Korea, and Indonesia). We check the causality of the co-movement among the markets across Pacific by using Granger-Causality test, VAR, and event studying on unexpected high volatile period. Our tests show that U.S. and Japan have strong influence to other As...