Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal shortand long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis. Threshold cointegration accounts for the possibility that this mean reversion is active only conditional on ce...

A neglected aspect of the otherwise fairly well developed Bayesian analysis of cointegration is the point estimation of the cointegration space. It is pointed out here that, due to the well known non-identification of the cointegration vectors, the parameter space is not an inner product space and conventional Bayes estimators therefore stand without their usual decision theoretic foundation. W...

This paper extends my previous analysis of the causal relationship of GDP and energy use in the USA in the post-war period. A majority of the relevant variables are integrated justifying a cointegration analysis. The results show that cointegration does occur and that energy input cannot be excluded from the cointegration space. The results are plausible in terms of macroeconomic dynamics. The ...

A contemporaneous linear combination of two or more time series is less persistent than the individual series. Engle and Granger (1987) allowed for both standard and fractional cointegration. Under standard cointegration, the memory parameter is reduced from 1 to 0, while under fractional cointegration the level of reduction need not be an integer thus is more general. Empirical examples includ...

We propose new tests for panel cointegration by extending the panel unit root tests of Choi [2001] and Maddala and Wu [1999] to the panel cointegration case. The tests are flexible, intuitively appealing and relatively easy to compute. We investigate the finite sample behavior in a simulation study. Several variants of the tests compare favorably in terms of both size and power with other widel...

Energy carriers are one of the most important inputs in the agricultural sector. These inputs have been the foundation of the development and transition of the agricultural sector from the traditional stage to the industrial stage. The energy per capita marginal consumption in Iran’s agricultural sector is 3.2 times greater than its global average. Therefore, it is essential to save and optimal...

We propose new tests for panel cointegration by extending the panel unit root tests of Choi [2001] and Maddala and Wu [1999] to the panel cointegration case. The tests are flexible, intuitively appealing and relatively easy to compute. We investigate the finite sample behavior in a simulation study. Several variants of the tests compare favorably in terms of both size and power with other widel...

This paper examines the relationship between exchange rates and stock prices in eight Asian countries using cointegration and Granger causality tests over the period 1991 to 2005. We test for cointegration and Granger causality for both individual countries using the Gregory and Hansen (1996) cointegration test that accommodates a structural break in the cointegrating vector, and for a panel us...

This paper analyzes long-run co-movements between international real estate stock markets and between regions based on bivariate and multivariate tests for cointegration. While the topic has been analyzed in previous studies such as Gallo and Zhang (2009) and Yunus (2009) among others, this paper is of significant contribution to existing studies since we compare results from different cointegr...

Bir hükümet ekonomiyi yönetmek ve ülkedeki refah koşullarını yukarı çekmek için ekonomi politikaları uygular. işgücüne üretken alanlar sağlamak da yine politikası yapıcılarının öncelikli hedeflerinden birisidir. Dolayısıyla iş gücünün hangi sektörlerde yer aldığı ekonomiye sunduğu katkılar önemli birer parametredir. Söz konusu durumdan hareketle bu çalışmada sektörel istihdam oranlarının ekonom...