The purpose of this study is to contribute further on the twin deficits debate in a developing economy. The data for Malaysia over four decades is used as a case study. Empirical result obtained from the Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration test indicates that budget deficit and current account deficit do not contain common stochastic trend in the long run. However, the findings from the Gran...

For univariate time series we suggest a new variant of efficient score tests against fractional alternatives. This test has three important merits. First, by means of simulations we observe that it is superior in terms of size and power in some situations of practical interest. Second, it is easily understood and implemented as a slight modification of the Dickey-Fuller test, although our score...

Applying Johansen cointegration test to U.S. annual data constructed from the EU KLEMS database, the paper documents that the productivities of consumption-goods and equipmentgoods sector are cointegrated. It confirms further, using the non-linear cointegration test framework developed by Kapetanios et al. (2006), that the cointegrating relation is non-linear. The cointegration of sectoral prod...

This paper examines the e↵ects of liquidity on the demand for imports of non-durable consumers’ goods in Trinidad and Tobago. A parsimonious vector equilibrium correction model (VEqCM) is used to test the hypotheses that liquidity has both longand short-run e↵ects. The multivariate cointegration approach of Johansen and Juselius (1990) is used to determine long-run relations and general to spec...

The purpose of this article is to investigate the effect government consumption and investment expenditures on private sector in Turkish economy. In study, Cointegration Vector Autoregressive Model based 1980-2018 data has been used. results cointegration vector obtained from Johansen Test show that during period under review, are complementary incentive competitive with expenditures. Based res...

One of the major problems confronting the application of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) to real structures is that of divorcing the effect of environmental changes from those imposed by damage. A recent development in this area is the import of the technique of cointegration from the field of econometrics. While cointegration is a mature technology within economics, its development has been...

This paper investigates the relationships between stock market indices and four macroeconomics variables, namely crude oil price (COP), money supply (M2), industrial production (IP) and inflation rate (IR) in China and India. The period covers in this study is between January 1999 to January 2009. Using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, the underlying series are tested as non-stationa...

the main purpose of this paper is analyses the short and long run relationship between budget deficit and trade deficit in some mena countries. the data cover the period from 1971-2000 (and for i.r. iran 1 959-2003).the relationship between these variables will be analyses in short and long run by using johansen cointegration tests, ecm, and granger causality test. the empirical evidence provid...

This research uses multivariate cointegration analysis to assess the degree . of competition in the U.S. natural gas industry following the move to open access pipeline transportation. The testing methodology allows multiple nodes in the pipeline network to be analyzed simultaneously and is based on recent advances by Johansen (1988, 1991) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) on estimation and hypo...

Contact author: David E. Giles, Dept. of Economics, University of Victoria, P.O. Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, B.C., Canada V8W 2Y2; e-mail: [email protected]; Phone: (250) 721-8540; FAX: (250) 721-6214 Abstract Testing for multivariate cointegration when the data exhibit structural breaks is a problem that is encountered frequently in empirical economic analysis. The standard tests must be modifie...