The study is aimed to test causal relationship between growth and unemployment, using time series data for Pakistan from 1972 to 2006. Growth is considered to be a pathway to decrease the level of unemployment. Unemployment is a social and political issue. It is a phenomenon where human resources are wasted leading to deacceleration in growth. Johanson Cointegration shows that there is long run...

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh saham syariah, obligasi syariah (sukuk), reksadana terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional. Jenis penelitian adalah kuantitatif dengan menggunakan data time series berjumlah 60 sampel bulanan dari Januari 2015 sampai Desember 2019. Analisis dasar yang digunakan dalam Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), dan Granger Causality Test menentukan ar...

In this paper we use smooth transition vector error-correction models (STVECMs) in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the unemployment rates of the four non-Euro G-7 countries, the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Japan. In the forecasting analysis, pooled forecasts constructed by taking the median value across the point forecasts generated by the linear VECM and the STVECMs generally ...

the iranian poultry sector has experienced many significant structural changes in recent years. such changes may have influenced price dynamics and transmission of shocks through marketing channels especially on retail markets. this paper investigate price transmission, threshold behavior and asymmetric adjustment in poultry sector of ardebil (ar), east azerbaijan (ea) and west azerbaijan (wa) ...

Abstract Time series data commonly show are interconnected behaviour and non-stationer interrelated variables, so a model that able to obtain good forecasting result from non-stationary multivariate variables time needed. Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is one of which vector form Autoregressive Boundary (VAR) for has cointegration relationship. The purpose this study identify the VECM in ...

The prime objective of the study is to identify the long-run and short-run relationship between Indian stock price viz., BSE SENSEX (hereafter named as BSE) and gold price (GOLD) in India. The daily closing price data were collected for the period of ten years ranging from 1st April 2004 to 31st March 2014 with 2490 observations. The study employed two models: Model one us...