Forecasting is a systematic attempt to examine the future by inference from known facts. Sales forecasting is an ballpark figure of sales during a specified future period. Formerly, it was a manual process using the mathematical formulas. Due to the advent of computer the process of sale forecasting is fast and accurate. Machine learning, a subfield of Artificial Intelligence, has many algorith...

Alpha-galactosidase production in submerged fermentation by Acinetobacter sp. was optimized using feed forward neural networks and genetic algorithm (FFNN-GA). Six different parameters, pH, temperature, agitation speed, carbon source (raffinose), nitrogen source (tryptone), and K2HPO4, were chosen and used to construct 6-10-1 topology of feed forward neural network to study interactions between...

Spatial cross-validation and average-error statistics are examined with respect to their abilities to evaluate alternate spatial interpolation methods. A simple crossvalidation methodology is described, and the relative abilities of three, dimensioned error statistics—the root-mean-square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the mean bias error (MBE)—to describe average interpolator...

The temporal prediction of the solar radiation is very important for the operation of any solar energy system technology and completing data set. Based on meteorological parameters, the artificial neural network (ANN) can bring a technical solution for the prediction problems. In this paper, we developed an ANN for the south Tunisian climate to predict global solar radiation. Five years of reco...

This paper concerns the use of feedforward neural networks (FNN) for predicting the nondimensional velocity of the gas that flows along a porous wall. The numerical solution of partial differential equations that govern the fluid flow is applied for training and testing the FNN. The equations were solved using finite differences method by writing a FORTRAN code. The Levenberg–Marquardt algorith...

In the paper a relatively simple yet powerful and versatile technique for forecasting time series data – simple exponential smoothing is described. The simple exponential smoothing (SES) is a short-range forecasting method that assumes a reasonably stable mean in the data with no trend (consistent growth or decline). It is one of the most popular forecasting methods that uses weighted moving av...

This paper gives the optimal stack filtering theory under the mean absolute error (MAE) criterion a completely new meaning in terms of the a posteriori Bayes minimum-cost decision. It is shown that under certain conditions this always leads to a rank-order filter (ROF) as the best filter in the minimum MAE sense. It is further shown that for a mostly practical case, the solution becomes the med...

We use a set of 477 lexicosyntactic, acoustic, and semantic features extracted from 393 speech samples in DementiaBank to predict clinical MMSE scores, an indicator of the severity of cognitive decline associated with dementia. We use a bivariate dynamic Bayes net to represent the longitudinal progression of observed linguistic features and MMSE scores over time, and obtain a mean absolute erro...

Judgemental forecasting of exchange rates is critical for ®nancial decision-making. Detailed investigations of the potential e€ects of time-series characteristics on judgemental currency forecasts demand the use of simulated series where the form of the signal and probability distribution of noise are known. The accuracy measures Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) are freque...

In this paper we implement a collaborative filtering algorithm on the MovieLens dataset to predict movie ratings for the users. The original matrix, which contains the movie ratings on a 1-5 scale for the users, has many missing entries. Rank-K factorization is used to construct the filtering algorithm and alternating least squares is then performed on the two lower rank matrices in order to fi...