this paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run granger non–causality test proposed by toda and yamamoto (1995). we test the causal relationships between the tepix index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

This study aimed to examine the relationship between macroeconomic and nonmacroeconomic variables and hotel stock returns using hotel companies listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. The regression analysis indicated that among the macroeconomic variables (i.e., money supply, the growth rate of industrial production, expected inflation, the change of unemployment rate, and the yield spread), only...

how inflation taxation affects resource allocation and welfare has received a great deal of attention. so far, this debate has been controversial. in this paper we examine how nominal money growth as a means of public finance affects resource allocation and welfare in a neoclassical endogenous growth model with leisure and money in the utility function and production externality. the present st...

the purpose of this research is investigation of application of the arbitrage pricing theory and effect of unanticipated changes in a set of macroeconomic variables such as inflation rate, money supply, exchange rate, oil price, term structure and industrial production on expected security return in tehran stock exchange. in this research, data are analyzed quarterly for the period of 1997-2008...

The article "Money, Prices and Wages in the Confederacy, 1861-65" by Eugene Lerner (Lerner 1955) initiated a debate in which Lerner described the increasing inflation in the Confederacy over the course of the Civil War, and analyzed its reasons, attributing it to the increase in the stock of paper money over the duration of the war. This stock kept rising (Lerner 1955, p. 20, Table 1) because o...

Does the “smart money” effect documented by Gruber (1996) and Zheng (1999) reflect fund selection ability of mutual fund investors? We examine the finding that investors are able to predict mutual fund performance and invest accordingly. We show that the smart money effect is explained by the stock return momentum phenomenon documented by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993). Further evidence suggests t...

The paper examines the extent to which the conditional volatility of stock market returns in a small, internationally integrated stock market are related to the conditional volatility of financial and business cycle variables. It employs a low frequency monthly dataset for Australia including stock market returns, interest rates, inflation, the money supply, industrial production and the curren...

We consider a version of Kiyotaki and Wright's monetary search model in which agents can hold arbitrary amounts of divisible money. A continuum of stationary equilibriums, indexed by the aggregate real-money stock, exist with all trading occurring at a single price. There is always a maximum level of the real money stock consistent with existence of such an equilibrium. In the limit as trading ...