We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in volatility US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances local structural shocks from stochastic specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between endogenous variables and setting, find that interest rate uncertainty not only drives output inflation volatility, but also causes...

abstract the study examines the growth effects of foreign direct investment on environmental quality in nigeria between 1970 and 2013. variables like per capita income, environmental degradation, foreign direct investment, human capital, inflation, trade openness, interest rate, and the interaction term between foreign direct investment and carbon emission were employed in the study. a long run...

JEL classification E52 This paper examines the credibility of the Federal Reserve's monetary targets using survey data on money growth forecasts to measure market expectations. The paper provides two main results. First, there is strong evidence that the monetary targets were credible over the 1978 to 1993 sample period, although credibility fell in the post-1985 period. Second, both the federa...

This paper derives the optimal size and timing of interest rate target changes. Despite the simplicity of the optimal rule, we are able to replicate a number of puzzling features of interest rate targeting observed in practice, as well as explain some dynamic properties of market interest rates. Extensions to deal with monetary policy cycles, anticipated and unanticipated target changes, and th...

I develop an asset-pricing model in which financial assets are valued for their liquidity– the extent to which they are useful in facilitating exchange–as well as for being claims to streams of consumption goods. The implications for average asset returns, the equitypremium puzzle, and the risk-free rate puzzle, are explored both analytically and quantitatively in a version of the model that ne...

The papers in this symposium address the issue of multiple equilibria that can be induced by monetary policy in models with capital accumulation. In particular they examine how the “Taylor Principle”, under which interest rates respond more than proportionately to increases in inflation, can generate multiple equilibria. They also explore the design of policies to avoid the problem of multiple ...

We show that for generic economies, every equilibrium admits Pareto improving monetary policy, even with multiple commodities per state. The main assumption is that asset incompleteness be intermediate, in that household heterogeneity does not exceed the number of assets present and absent. We argue this as a special case of the general framework in Turner (2003b) for proving the generic existe...

This paper presents a general approximation method for characterizing timevarying equilibrium portfolios in a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model. The method can be easily adapted to most dynamic general equilibrium models, it applies to environments in which markets are complete or incomplete, and it can be used for models of any dimension. Moreover, the approximation provides simple...

This paper evaluates the performance of optimal simple policy rules in the presence of news shocks. It is shown that the inclusion of forward-looking elements enhances the performance of simple optimized interest rate rules when agents learn about future disturbances in advance. We provide a rationale for this result by demonstrating that, if shocks are news shocks, the optimal unrestricted con...

Tinbergen Rules the Taylor Rule by Thomas R. Michl JEL E12, E52