S models of reasoning (SLR) proved to be very successful in predicting behavior in the beauty contest game. Recently, a quantified version of the model was suggested as a more general model of thinking. In particular, it was found that the distribution of choices could be represented by a Poisson distribution. I test the model in stylized firstand second-price common-value sealed-bid auctions. ...

Prediction limits are often attractive for carrying out multiple-comparisons-with-control hypothesis tests. We present algorithms for computing simultaneous confidence levels of partially sequential nonparametric prediction limit tests used in environmental monitoring. Algorithms are given for “pof-m” (m chances to get p observations “inbounds” at each of r locations to “pass”), “California” (e...

Using satellite-based multi-sensor observations, this study investigates Chl-a blooms induced by typhoons in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) and the South China Sea (SCS), and quantifies the blooms via wind-induced mixing and Ekman pumping parameters, as well as pre-typhoon mixed-layer depth (MLD). In the NWP, the Chl-a bloom is more correlated with the Ekman pumping than with the other two paramet...

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Police agencies have been collecting increasing amount of information to better understand patterns in criminal activity. Recently there is a new trend on using the data collected to predict where and when crime will occur. Crime prediction is greatly beneficial because if it is done accurately, police practitioner would be able to allocate resources to the geographic areas most at risk for cri...

Whether scientists test their hypotheses as they ought to has interested both cognitive psychologists and philosophers of science. Classic analyses of hypothesis testing assume that people should pick the test with the largest probability of falsifying their current hypothesis, while experiments have shown that people tend to select tests consistent with that hypothesis. Using two different nor...

This special issue on \Regional weather models" complements the Oc-tober 1995 special issue on \Climate and weather modeling", which fo-cused on global models. In this introduction we review the similarities and diierences between regional and global atmospheric models. Next, the structure of regional models is described and we consider how the basic algorithms applied in these models innuence ...

This computer model was commissioned by the Tower Environs Partnership as part of the technical studies to underpin proposed enhancement of the surroundings of the Tower. It is intended to provide a sufficiently fine-grained photo-realistic facsimile to allow fine judgement of minor changes in landscape detail. Its credibility is underpinned by close correspondence to the original survey data a...