During elections, political polls provide critical data for the support each candidate receives. For that reason, the measurement of questions asking about candidate support has been receiving some research attention. As the online survey is increasingly becoming a widely used tool for public opinion and election polls, evaluation of the measurement error associated with this survey mode is of ...

=706782. 87 See James Salzman & J.B. Ruhl, Currencies and the Commodification of Environmental Law, 53 STAN. L. REV. 607, 616-22 (2000). Reprinted with Permission of New York University School of Law [Vol. 81:1875 H inOnline -81 .Y.U. L. Rev. 190

Africa Research Bulletin: Political, Social and Cultural SeriesVolume 60, Issue 5 p. 24018A-24019A Internal Developments MAURITANIA: Local, Legislative Polls First published: 13 June 2023 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-825X.2023.11065.xRead the full textAboutPDF ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare text full-text accessPlease review ou...

Using a combination of polling data and previous election results, Nate Silver successfully predicted the Electoral College distribution in the presidential election in 2008 with 98% accuracy and in 2012 with 100% accuracy. This study applies a Bayesian analysis of polls, assuming a normal posterior using a conjugate prior. The data were taken from the Huffington Posts Pollster. States were div...

Examining data on the recent health care legislation, we demonstrate that public opinion polls on health care should be treated with caution because of item nonresponse--or "don't know" answers--on survey questions. Far from being the great equalizer, opinion polls can actually misrepresent the attitudes of the population. First, we show that respondents with lower levels of socioeconomic resou...

Election forecasting has become a fixture of election campaigns in number democracies. Structural modeling, the major approach to results, relies on ‘fundamental’ economic and political variables predict incumbent’s vote share usually few months advance. Some scientists contend that adding intention polls these models—i.e., synthesizing polling information—can lead important accuracy gains. In ...

Sam Wang is a pioneer in using statistical methods to analyze U.S. presidential election polls. In this election season interview with Neuron, he discusses diagnosing partisan gerrymandering, his research on the cerebellum, and how he analyzes polls with high accuracy.