This study examines the causal relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth. Methodology is based on the Toda-Yamamoto test for causality relationship and the bounds testing (ARDL). Time-series data covering the period 19702005 for Malaysia, the study found, in the case of Malaysia there is no strong evidence of a bi-directional causality and long-run relationship between ...

t his paper investigates the existence of possible spillover effects among four main asset markets namely foreign exchange, stock, gold, and housing markets in iran from 2002:03 to 2015:06. for this purpose, we have exploited sigma-point kalman filter (spkf) to extract the bubble component of assets prices in the aforementioned markets. then, in order to analyze the price bubbles spillover amon...

abstract this paper attempts to re-investigate the catching-up (stochastic convergence) hypothesis among the selected 16 oecd countries applying the time series approach of convergence hypothesis with annual data over one century. to reach this aim, we propose a model which specifies a trend function, incorporating both types of structural breaks – that is, sharp breaks and smooth shifts using ...

The authors examine the link between consumption and disaggregate wealth in Canada. They use a vector-error-correction model in which permanent and transitory shocks are identified using the restrictions implied by cointegration proposed by King, Plosser, Stock, and Watson (1991) and Gonzalo and Granger (1995). This procedure allows the authors to identify the reaction of consumption to both ty...

exchange rate has the fundamental role as one of the economy key variables in determining the domestic price. so it is important to know how is the empirical relationship between the exchange rate and domestic prices and the factors influencing this relationship. the main objective of this study is to determine the effect of vehichel imports share on the exchange rate pass – through on domestic...

This Paper describes a procedure for constructing theory restricted prior distributions for BVAR models. The Bayes Factor, which is obtained without any additional computational effort, can be used to assess the plausibility of the restrictions imposed on the VAR parameter vector by competing DSGE models. In other words, it is possible to rank the amount of abstraction implied by each DSGE mode...

The paper suggests a CUSUM-type test for time-varying parameters in a recently proposed spatial autoregressive model for stock returns and derives its asymptotic null distribution as well as local power properties. As can be seen from Euro Stoxx 50 returns, a combination of spatial modelling and change point tests allows for superior risk forecasts in portfolio management. JEL Classification: C...

This paper discusses inference about the pre and post break value of a scalar parameter in GMM time series models with a single break at an unknown point in time. We show that treating the break date estimated by least squares as the true break date leads to substantially oversized tests and confidence intervals unless the break is large. We develop an alternative test that controls size unifor...

Recent evidence has shown possible scaling and self-similarity in high frequency financial time series. This paper demonstrates that many of these graphical scaling results could have been generated by a simple stochastic volatility model. This casts doubt on the power of these tests to discern between true scaling and simple highly dependent stochastic processes. JEL Classification: C32, G12 ∗...