نتایج جستجو برای: short term price forecasting

تعداد نتایج: 997276  

2012
K. Afshar N. Bigdeli H. Shayeghi

In this paper, the data analysis and short term price forecasting in Iran electricity market as a market with pay-as-bid payment mechanism has been considered. The proposed method is a modified singular spectral analysis (SSA) method. SSA decomposes a time series into its principal components i.e. its trend and oscillation components, which are then used for time series forecasting effectively....

Journal: :Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing 2021

Journal: :CoRR 2014
Victor G. Kurbatsky Nikita V. Tomin Vadim A. Spiryaev Paul Leahy Denis N. Sidorov Alexei Zhukov

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode decomposition and a feature analysis of initial retrospective data using the Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning algorithms. The random forests and gra...

Journal: :پژوهش های مدیریت در ایران 0
عادل آذر دانشیار رشته مدیریت، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران امیر افسر مربی مدیریت، دانشگاه قم، قم، ایران پرویز احمدی استادیار مدیریت، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران

today, stock investment has become an important mean of national finance. apparently, it is significant for investors to estimate the stock price and select the trading chance accurately in advance, which will bring high return to stockholders. in the past, long-term trading processes and many technical analysis methods for stock market were put forward. however, stock market is a nonlinear sys...

Significant decline in the slope of short-term oil supply and demand curves, along with the meaningful change in the degree of risk aversion in arbitrageurs encouraged us to test the time-varying effects of speculative demand on crude oil price dynamics over the period 1985-2016. Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model – with structural shocks identified by Killian ...

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