Wind power point forecasting is the primary method to deal with its uncertainty. However, in many applications, the probabilistic interval of wind power is more useful than traditional point forecasting. Methods to determine the probabilistic interval of wind power point forecasting value is very essential to power system operations. Based on the bootstrap method, this paper proposed a wavelet ...

Wind power technology has been developing widely in recent years. Several research fields in power systems such as prediction of wind speed, wind generator system modeling, system stability and control of wind energy conversion system are emphasized further with the consideration of wind power. With increasing penetration level in power system, the issue concerning the influence of wind power o...

For accurate and efficient use of wind power, it is important to know the statistical characteristics, availability, diurnal variation, and prediction of wind speed. Prediction of wind power permits the scheduling of the connection or the disconnection of wind turbines to achieve optimal operating costs. In this paper, a simple and accurate method for predicting wind speed based on weather-sens...

This paper addresses design and development of an artificial neural network based system for prediction of wind energy produced by wind turbines. Now in the last decade, renewable energy emerged as an additional alternative source for electrical power generation. We need to assess wind power generation capacity by wind turbines because of its nonexhaustible nature. The power generation by elect...

The prediction of wind farm output power is considered as an effective way to increase the wind power capacity and improve the safety and economy of power system. It is one of the hot research topics on wind power. The wind farm output power is related to many factors such as wind speed, temperature, etc., which is difficult to be described by some mathematical expression. In this paper, Back P...

Successful integration of renewable energy sources like wind power into smart grids largely depends on accurate prediction of power from these intermittent sources. Production of wind power cannot be controlled as the wind speed can vary based on weather conditions. Accurate prediction of wind power can assist smart grid that intelligently decides on the usage of alternative power sources based...

In this paper, models for shortand long-term prediction of wind farm power are discussed. The models are built using weather forecasting data generated at different time scales and horizons. The maximum forecast length of the short-term prediction model is 12 h, and the maximum forecast length of the long-term prediction model is 84 h. The wind farm power prediction models are built with five d...

Wind power prediction of wind farm plays a decisive role in stable electric power system operation.The BP neural network’s basic principle was introduced, and the numerical weather prediction (NWP) data and power data of wind farm as the training data of BP neural network was selected and trained; a linear regression model about the sample prediction error was presented, which considers the cou...

This paper considers the effect of nonlinear atmospheric disturbances on wind power prediction. A Lorenz system is introduced as an atmospheric disturbance model. Three new improved wind forecasting models combined with a Lorenz comprehensive disturbance are put forward in this study. Firstly, we define the form of the Lorenz disturbance variable and the wind speed perturbation formula. Then, d...