BACKGROUND Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) remains a major cause of mortality in the United Kingdom. Yet predictions of future CHD mortality are potentially problematic due to population ageing and increase in obesity and diabetes. Here we explore future projections of CHD mortality in England & Wales under two contrasting future trend assumptions. METHODS In scenario A, we used the conventional...

BACKGROUND The United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals for 2030 include reducing premature mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) by one third. To assess the feasibility of this goal in China, we projected premature mortality in 2030 of NCDs under different risk factor reduction scenarios. METHODS We used China results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 as empirical d...

OBJECTIVE Despite rapid declines over the last two decades, coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in the British Isles are still amongst the highest in Europe. This study uses a modelling approach to compare the potential impact of future risk factor scenarios relating to smoking and physical activity levels, dietary salt and saturated fat intakes on future CHD mortality in three countri...

This is a survey of the studies identified with the potential effect that the new changes of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's vision for 2030 with a consideration on the Ministry of Education (MOE) in Saudi Arabia will influence the self-appraisal of Saudi understudies/students by their family’s interest or participation. A few studies indicate strong proof that the developments of the Kingdom of Saud...

Biomass provides 10% of the global energy supply and electricity generation from biomass and waste is expected to increase by a factor of 4 by 2030. Currently efficiency of biomass power generation is poor and IEA targets improvements from 18% to 25% by 2030 [1]. Such increases in efficiency will require significant new technology and accurate real-time measurement of the flow of these highly v...

We build an economico-epidemiological Solow-Swan model. Mortality and morbidity effects on effective labor are taken into account. A Ben-Porath-like mechanism affects the dynamics of the saving rate and reduces labor productivity. Based on optimal projections of the demographic and economic South-African series on the period 2000-2050, we identify a delayed effect of HIV-AIDS on economic growth...

Regarding the conflicting demands of demographic development, mobility desires and needs as well as an increasingly complex transport and traffic environment, the MOBIL 2030 research project investigates what impacts these changes will show on the mobility culture in general and on the individual mobility behavior of the “baby boomers” (who will be aged 65 and older in 2030) in particular. Base...

INTRODUCTION In 2014, city leaders from around the world endorsed the Paris Declaration on Fast-Track Cities, pledging to achieve the 2020 and 2030 HIV targets championed by UNAIDS. The City of Johannesburg - one of South Africa's metropolitan municipalities and also a health district - has over 600,000 people living with HIV (PLHIV), more than any other city worldwide. We estimate what it woul...

BACKGROUND The population infected with HIV is getting older and these people will increasingly develop age-related non-communicable diseases (NCDs). We aimed to quantify the scale of the change and the implications for HIV care in the Netherlands in the future. METHODS We constructed an individual-based model of the ageing HIV-infected population, which followed patients on HIV treatment as ...